TEX
@
3:10p
COL
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.755
Temp
42.7°F
Wind
4.6 mph
out
Roof
open
Jack Leiter
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 76 | 🟡 B | · | · | 12 | 0.369 | 89.6 | 13.9% | 28.6% | 417 | 19.0% | 7.7% | 22.5% | 32 |
| 2 | TJ Rumfield | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 76 | 0.172 | 86.0 | 8.3% | 20.6% | 413 | 8.6% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 35 | |
| 3 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 87 | 0.212 | 83.2 | 4.9% | 15.4% | 425 | 9.1% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 153 | 0.075 | 88.0 | 7.1% | 10.3% | 401 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien ⚡ | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 154 | 0.100 | 91.3 | 8.3% | 15.0% | 389 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 196 | 0.139 | 88.9 | 1.9% | 14.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 210 | 0.092 | 86.9 | · | 0.0% | 361 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 26 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Karros | 25 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 219 | 0.076 | 89.0 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 448 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Brett Sullivan | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 222 | 0.091 | 84.5 | · | 11.1% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 10 |
Kyle Freeland
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Justin Foscue | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 35 | 0.140 | 93.2 | 18.2% | 13.3% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 18.4% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Jake Burger | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 43 | 0.164 | 89.9 | 9.4% | 25.0% | 390 | 14.0% | 23.1% | 20.3% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 48 | 0.186 | 91.6 | 6.2% | 17.6% | 368 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 16.4% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Michael Helman | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 55 | 0.210 | 91.3 | 9.5% | 10.7% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19.4% | 1 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Jung | 53 | 🟠 C | · | · | 67 | 0.185 | 90.3 | 6.3% | 16.7% | 378 | 11.6% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 43 |
| 6 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.144 | 91.5 | 9.9% | 20.0% | 402 | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Kyle Higashioka | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 93 | 0.063 | 88.9 | 10.2% | 8.3% | 391 | 13.3% | 100.0% | 12.9% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
Andrew McCutchen | 33 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.091 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 8.3% | 347 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 12 |
| 9 |
|
Sam Haggerty | 18 | ⚪ D | · | · | 247 | · | 85.4 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 5 |