⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Freddie Freeman 4 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 8 Wenceel Pérez 4 HRs · 9 Hunter Goodman 4 HRs · 10 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 11 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 12 James Wood 4 HRs
TB
@
STL
Busch Stadium · 9 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
Neutral
Combined
1.000
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 46 ⚪ D · · 43 0.190 90.6 9.4% 15.2% 407 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 0
2 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 43 ⚪ D · · 58 0.180 91.2 8.3% 19.4% 407 0.0% 0.0% 15.8% 0
3 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 40 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 77 0.165 89.6 7.6% 12.7% 409 0.0% 0.0% 12.8% 5
4 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 40 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 79 0.169 91.0 7.7% 10.2% 408 0.0% 0.0% 11.5% 4
5 Lars Nootbaar Lars Nootbaar 36 ⚪ D · · 107 0.128 91.3 8.0% 7.3% 388 0.0% 0.0% 9.7% 0
6 Brendan Donovan Brendan Donovan 36 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 108 0.135 89.7 7.4% 6.9% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.4% 6
7 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 131 0.140 86.8 5.0% 7.5% 383 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 1
8 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 30 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 139 0.110 88.3 5.5% 5.7% 388 0.0% 0.0% 8.6% 4
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 149 0.080 86.1 4.8% 4.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 3
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