STL
@
7:15p
SD
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.813
Temp
61.6°F
Wind
5.8 mph
in
Roof
open
Randy Vásquez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 42 | 0.253 | 95.1 | · | 33.3% | 406 | 16.7% | 15.4% | 25.0% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 72 | 0.203 | 89.9 | · | 18.5% | 394 | 5.0% | 7.7% | 19.3% | 47 |
| 3 |
|
Nathan Church | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 77 | 0.200 | 85.9 | · | 29.4% | 387 | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 43 |
| 4 |
|
Alec Burleson | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 92 | 0.176 | 91.5 | · | 20.0% | 408 | 17.1% | 23.1% | 14.9% | 41 |
| 5 |
|
Pedro Pagés | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.183 | 85.5 | · | 21.4% | 397 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 22.9% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.143 | 88.5 | · | 19.2% | 403 | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 162 | 0.181 | 90.0 | · | 18.8% | 400 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Scott II | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 224 | 0.053 | 87.2 | · | 12.5% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 27 |
| 9 |
|
Masyn Winn | 17 | ⚪ D | · | · | 225 | 0.107 | 86.3 | · | 7.7% | 373 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 42 |
Dustin May
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 52 | 0.244 | 88.5 | · | 31.6% | 409 | 9.4% | 15.4% | 28.3% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.165 | 89.3 | · | 6.7% | 397 | 10.0% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.162 | 90.3 | · | 22.2% | 399 | 12.1% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 124 | 0.156 | 88.4 | · | 30.4% | 392 | 18.2% | 23.1% | 19.1% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 163 | 0.187 | 88.8 | · | 26.1% | 406 | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 197 | 0.130 | 89.5 | · | 16.0% | 408 | 12.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 36 |
| 7 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 201 | 0.109 | 88.3 | · | 7.7% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 11 | ⚪ D | · | · | 244 | 0.036 | 92.8 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 250 | 0.056 | 87.4 | · | 7.7% | 399 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 15 |