STL
@
6:40p
PIT
Park Factor
0.75×
Weather Mod
-5.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.374
Temp
53.5°F
Wind
11.5 mph
in
Roof
open
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 82 | 🟢 A | · | · | 13 | 0.259 | 97.3 | 23.5% | 31.2% | 415 | 31.8% | 33.3% | 27.6% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.270 | 86.5 | 12.3% | 35.3% | 390 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 17.2% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 91 | 0.168 | 90.6 | 8.6% | 16.7% | 385 | 9.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.086 | 88.5 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 405 | 7.7% | 20.0% | 6.9% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 34 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 155 | 0.126 | 91.5 | 9.4% | 10.0% | 405 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 158 | 0.087 | 86.6 | 10.2% | 8.3% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 160 | 0.108 | 86.3 | 1.9% | 17.6% | 380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Yorke | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | 0.094 | 90.8 | 6.0% | 0.0% | 394 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 222 | 0.053 | 87.3 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 38 |