⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
STL
@ 7:10p
HOU
Minute Maid Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.084
Temp
70.9°F
Wind
6.3 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 94 🔥 A+ · · 2 0.417 93.0 19.2% 26.7% 392 60.0% 75.0% 31.3% 41
2 Cam Smith Cam Smith 74 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 28 0.194 90.7 17.0% 21.4% 403 15.8% 16.7% 14.6% 36
3 Christian Walker Christian Walker 72 🟡 B · ❄ COLD 34 0.250 90.5 15.1% 23.5% 393 15.8% 25.0% 28.8% 37
4 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 54 🟠 C · · 78 0.200 84.7 7.7% 30.0% 376 11.1% 9.1% 14.2% 40
5 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 44 ⚪ D · · 125 0.115 91.2 10.0% 11.1% 402 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 33
6 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 161 0.086 90.5 2.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 26
7 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 188 0.068 86.8 2.3% 14.3% 372 5.9% 9.1% 8.0% 33
8 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 28 ⚪ D · · 212 0.073 88.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 25
9 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 218 0.093 86.1 2.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 22
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jordan Walker Jordan Walker 88 🟢 A · · 9 0.370 95.8 24.4% 44.4% 413 33.3% 25.0% 37.0% 33
2 Alec Burleson Alec Burleson 50 🟠 C · · 94 0.139 92.8 12.1% 11.8% 431 11.8% 9.1% 8.6% 40
3 Ivan Herrera Ivan Herrera 43 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.136 90.0 5.9% 22.2% 401 8.3% 12.5% 10.8% 35
4 JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt 39 ⚪ D · · 151 0.145 89.8 7.7% 16.7% 396 0.0% 0.0% 12.1% 0
5 Nolan Gorman Nolan Gorman 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 153 0.155 87.0 6.3% 18.8% 431 13.3% 10.0% 10.6% 22
6 Nathan Church Nathan Church 32 ⚪ D · · 191 0.096 84.4 8.0% 16.7% 378 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 19
7 Masyn Winn Masyn Winn 28 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 210 0.056 87.4 2.9% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 19
8 Thomas Saggese Thomas Saggese 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 246 0.047 88.0 3.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.3% 23
9 Victor Scott II Victor Scott II 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 258 0.020 87.1 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 24
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