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STL
@
8:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.01×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
hot air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.115
Temp
83.2°F
Wind
12.8 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Peter Lambert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jordan Walker | 94 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 3 | 0.391 | 95.8 | 24.4% | 44.4% | 413 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 39.5% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Alec Burleson | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 77 | 0.133 | 92.8 | 12.1% | 12.5% | 431 | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
JJ Wetherholt | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 117 | 0.152 | 89.8 | 7.7% | 17.6% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 0 |
| 4 |
|
Nathan Church | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 134 | 0.103 | 84.4 | 8.0% | 16.7% | 378 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.8% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Nolan Gorman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 161 | 0.113 | 87.0 | 6.3% | 14.3% | 431 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Masyn Winn | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 168 | 0.062 | 87.4 | 2.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 17 |
| 7 |
|
Ivan Herrera | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.096 | 90.0 | 5.9% | 16.7% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Thomas Saggese | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.047 | 88.0 | 3.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Scott II | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 239 | 0.022 | 87.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 25 |
Kyle Leahy
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 88 | 🟢 A | · | 🌧️ COOL | 7 | 0.403 | 93.0 | 19.2% | 25.0% | 392 | 50.0% | 66.7% | 28.5% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 27 | 0.265 | 90.5 | 15.1% | 23.5% | 393 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 26.9% | 37 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 72 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 31 | 0.200 | 90.7 | 17.0% | 21.4% | 403 | 16.7% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Jose Altuve | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 114 | 0.171 | 84.7 | 7.7% | 25.0% | 376 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Carlos Correa | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 123 | 0.108 | 91.2 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 30 |
| 6 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 160 | 0.091 | 90.5 | 2.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 189 | 0.075 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 197 | 0.068 | 86.8 | 2.3% | 14.3% | 372 | 6.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 218 | 0.093 | 86.1 | 2.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 25 |