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SEA
@
2:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.276
Temp
90.0°F
Wind
16.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Mike Burrows
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 94 | 🔥 A+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.321 | 93.7 | 23.1% | 42.9% | 383 | 19.2% | 25.0% | 51.6% | 14 |
| 2 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 64 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 28 | 0.167 | 89.7 | 8.5% | 11.8% | 416 | 19.2% | 33.3% | 15.5% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 33 | 0.209 | 93.1 | 15.2% | 22.7% | 402 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 28.4% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 60 | 0.153 | 91.3 | 5.9% | 17.6% | 375 | 7.3% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Brendan Donovan | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 69 | 0.190 | 85.1 | 3.2% | 21.4% | 348 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 18.4% | 17 |
| 6 | J.P. Crawford | 46 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 72 | 0.147 | 88.4 | 7.8% | 25.0% | 376 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 24.1% | 38 | |
| 7 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 43 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.120 | 87.8 | 6.7% | 20.8% | 402 | 12.0% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Cole Young | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 98 | 0.115 | 88.3 | 7.9% | 7.7% | 395 | 7.3% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Mitch Garver | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 118 | 0.079 | 90.4 | 6.7% | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 7 |
Luis Castillo
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 84 | 🟢 A | · | · | 7 | 0.321 | 94.0 | 17.4% | 21.9% | 394 | 29.6% | 16.7% | 24.5% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 16 | 0.245 | 91.0 | 12.6% | 36.0% | 392 | 22.0% | 25.0% | 38.5% | 41 |
| 3 |
|
Zach Cole | 58 | 🟠 C | · | · | 39 | 0.184 | 90.6 | 14.3% | 15.6% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.6% | 14 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Matthews | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 54 | 0.177 | 88.9 | 9.4% | 18.2% | 398 | 13.3% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Cam Smith | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.121 | 88.2 | 14.3% | 17.6% | 406 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Jose Altuve | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 96 | 0.120 | 86.1 | 6.5% | 16.7% | 378 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.111 | 87.5 | 3.4% | 12.0% | 374 | 4.9% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 44 |
| 8 |
|
Braden Shewmake | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 139 | · | 90.0 | 7.1% | 37.5% | 376 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.3% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
César Salazar | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 175 | · | · | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 6 |