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SEA
@
8:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
warm air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.372
Temp
74.3°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
retractable
George Kirby
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 2 | 0.381 | 94.4 | · | 22.6% | 394 | 33.3% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.280 | 91.5 | · | 36.4% | 397 | 21.1% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 38 |
| 3 |
|
Brice Matthews | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 15 | 0.208 | 87.5 | · | 22.2% | 398 | 16.7% | 20.0% | 26.3% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.145 | 87.8 | · | 13.6% | 374 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 10.4% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Cam Smith | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 50 | 0.138 | 88.4 | · | 17.6% | 406 | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Correa | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 62 | 0.129 | 89.2 | · | 0.0% | 384 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.146 | 85.7 | · | 20.0% | 378 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.120 | 87.8 | · | 11.8% | 380 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 9.2% | 19 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 83 | 0.086 | 90.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 18 |
Peter Lambert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 8 | 0.244 | 93.8 | · | 42.1% | 387 | 17.4% | 16.7% | 34.4% | 12 |
| 2 |
|
Cal Raleigh | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 14 | 0.200 | 86.9 | · | 16.2% | 390 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 21 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 26 | 0.095 | 89.5 | · | 6.7% | 417 | 17.4% | 25.0% | 12.2% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.238 | 94.2 | · | 20.0% | 409 | 3.7% | 0.0% | 16.2% | 11 |
| 5 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.150 | 90.8 | · | 13.3% | 377 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 27 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.124 | 87.7 | · | 22.7% | 402 | 13.6% | 16.7% | 9.4% | 42 |
| 7 | J.P. Crawford | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 57 | 0.113 | 88.2 | · | 23.1% | 374 | 10.8% | 25.0% | 15.3% | 36 | |
| 8 |
|
Cole Young | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 63 | 0.134 | 87.9 | · | 8.0% | 395 | 7.9% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 11 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 98 | 0.040 | 86.2 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 15 |