SD
@
1:35p
WSH
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.108
Temp
75.5°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Griffin Canning
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 86 | 🟢 A | · | · | 3 | 0.257 | 96.6 | 17.0% | 34.4% | 406 | 27.5% | 25.0% | 44.6% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 76 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.248 | 89.4 | 11.5% | 29.4% | 396 | 18.2% | 25.0% | 25.1% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
CJ Abrams | 72 | 🟡 B | · | · | 20 | 0.241 | 89.8 | 11.2% | 31.4% | 392 | 15.4% | 16.7% | 45.2% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Keibert Ruiz ⚡ | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 32 | 0.226 | 90.2 | 9.1% | 7.1% | 372 | 27.3% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Jacob Young | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 42 | 0.142 | 89.1 | 8.2% | 26.1% | 390 | 11.4% | 33.3% | 14.1% | 23 |
| 6 |
|
José Tena | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 62 | 0.157 | 93.0 | 10.6% | 18.8% | 398 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Daylen Lile | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 82 | 0.172 | 87.7 | 9.4% | 14.0% | 405 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 15.7% | 43 |
| 8 | Luis García Jr. | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 104 | 0.140 | 92.5 | 8.8% | 11.5% | 379 | 5.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 34 | |
| 9 |
|
Jorbit Vivas ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 105 | 0.097 | 82.8 | 6.1% | 6.7% | 364 | 3.1% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 19 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ty France | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 6 | 0.235 | 91.6 | 13.4% | 38.5% | 395 | 28.6% | 40.0% | 32.6% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.245 | 89.6 | 10.6% | 34.5% | 402 | 12.2% | 10.0% | 38.3% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Manny Machado | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 36 | 0.161 | 90.1 | 10.0% | 30.4% | 388 | 17.6% | 36.4% | 20.8% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 67 | 0.132 | 89.3 | 11.2% | 12.1% | 409 | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Nick Castellanos | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 83 | 0.142 | 87.8 | 10.3% | 15.8% | 394 | 8.3% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 18 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.123 | 87.7 | 9.1% | 23.3% | 395 | 13.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 32 |
| 7 | Sung-Mun Song | 37 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 183 | · | 86.3 | 12.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.1% | 2 | |
| 8 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 194 | 0.038 | 90.0 | 11.0% | 0.0% | 451 | 2.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 40 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 241 | 0.039 | 85.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 14 |