⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
SD
@ 1:35p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.11×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.108
Temp
75.5°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 86 🟢 A · · 3 0.257 96.6 17.0% 34.4% 406 27.5% 25.0% 44.6% 38
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 76 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 11 0.248 89.4 11.5% 29.4% 396 18.2% 25.0% 25.1% 28
3 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 72 🟡 B · · 20 0.241 89.8 11.2% 31.4% 392 15.4% 16.7% 45.2% 35
4 Keibert Ruiz Keibert Ruiz 69 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.226 90.2 9.1% 7.1% 372 27.3% 20.0% 18.5% 21
5 Jacob Young Jacob Young 65 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 42 0.142 89.1 8.2% 26.1% 390 11.4% 33.3% 14.1% 23
6 José Tena José Tena 59 🟠 C · · 62 0.157 93.0 10.6% 18.8% 398 10.0% 20.0% 19.2% 16
7 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 54 🟠 C · · 82 0.172 87.7 9.4% 14.0% 405 10.3% 0.0% 15.7% 43
8 Luis García Jr. 50 🟠 C · · 104 0.140 92.5 8.8% 11.5% 379 5.4% 10.0% 12.3% 34
9 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 50 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 105 0.097 82.8 6.1% 6.7% 364 3.1% 14.3% 11.3% 19
Zack Littell
Zack Littell RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ty France Ty France 81 🟢 A · · 6 0.235 91.6 13.4% 38.5% 395 28.6% 40.0% 32.6% 19
2 Gavin Sheets Gavin Sheets 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 17 0.245 89.6 10.6% 34.5% 402 12.2% 10.0% 38.3% 25
3 Manny Machado Manny Machado 67 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 36 0.161 90.1 10.0% 30.4% 388 17.6% 36.4% 20.8% 30
4 Jackson Merrill Jackson Merrill 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.132 89.3 11.2% 12.1% 409 10.0% 9.1% 9.9% 29
5 Nick Castellanos Nick Castellanos 54 🟠 C · · 83 0.142 87.8 10.3% 15.8% 394 8.3% 14.3% 10.3% 18
6 Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 116 0.123 87.7 9.1% 23.3% 395 13.7% 9.1% 9.3% 32
7 Sung-Mun Song 37 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 183 · 86.3 12.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 13.1% 2
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 194 0.038 90.0 11.0% 0.0% 451 2.0% 10.0% 6.5% 40
9 Freddy Fermin Freddy Fermin 26 ⚪ D · · 241 0.039 85.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.5% 14
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