SD
@
7:20p
SEA
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.798
Temp
52.9°F
Wind
5.0 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Luke Raley | 89 | 🟢 A | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 5 | 0.321 | 93.1 | 23.0% | 45.5% | 382 | 20.7% | 30.8% | 34.1% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Dominic Canzone | 58 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 56 | 0.209 | 93.1 | 14.9% | 18.2% | 402 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.6% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Julio Rodríguez | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 69 | 0.167 | 89.5 | 7.9% | 22.6% | 416 | 17.2% | 23.1% | 24.7% | 38 |
| 4 | J.P. Crawford | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 89 | 0.147 | 88.1 | 8.9% | 26.3% | 376 | 14.0% | 30.8% | 16.7% | 41 | |
| 5 |
|
Josh Naylor ⚡ | 45 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 122 | 0.120 | 88.5 | 6.9% | 17.2% | 402 | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 46 |
| 6 |
|
Mitch Garver | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 147 | 0.079 | 91.1 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 369 | 6.7% | 50.0% | 16.0% | 8 |
| 7 |
|
Randy Arozarena ⚡ | 41 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 149 | 0.153 | 91.1 | 5.6% | 17.4% | 375 | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Cole Young | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 175 | 0.115 | 88.0 | 7.3% | 9.4% | 395 | 6.8% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Leo Rivas | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 256 | 0.042 | 86.2 | 1.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 13 |
George Kirby
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gavin Sheets | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 63 | 0.229 | 88.9 | 9.5% | 33.3% | 402 | 12.8% | 23.1% | 22.0% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Ty France | 54 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 72 | 0.253 | 91.0 | 14.0% | 36.4% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32.7% | 12 |
| 3 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 123 | 0.193 | 89.4 | 4.0% | 12.5% | 400 | 11.1% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 37 |
| 4 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 135 | 0.165 | 88.8 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 406 | 3.6% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 139 | 0.127 | 89.7 | 9.2% | 14.3% | 408 | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 150 | 0.157 | 87.8 | 7.6% | 28.0% | 392 | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 37 |
| 7 |
|
Manny Machado | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 152 | 0.150 | 90.2 | 5.9% | 23.8% | 399 | 12.5% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 38 |
| 8 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 230 | 0.044 | 92.3 | 11.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 31 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 261 | 0.054 | 86.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 22 |