SD
@
3:10p
COL
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.757
Temp
35.6°F
Wind
6.9 mph
in
Roof
open
Matt Waldron
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 85 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.397 | 90.4 | 12.5% | 34.8% | 416 | 22.2% | 20.0% | 39.1% | 35 |
| 2 |
|
Edouard Julien | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 62 | 0.106 | 90.2 | 8.7% | 14.3% | 375 | 5.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Willi Castro | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.102 | 88.0 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.7% | 13 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 42 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 73 | 0.160 | 86.4 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.5% | 31 | |
| 5 |
|
Kyle Karros | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 74 | 0.081 | 90.2 | 6.8% | 10.0% | 448 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 77 | 0.114 | 88.3 | 8.8% | 5.3% | 401 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 29 |
| 7 |
|
Troy Johnston | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 90 | 0.146 | 89.8 | 3.1% | 14.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.5% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Jake McCarthy | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 91 | 0.140 | 85.5 | 4.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Brett Sullivan | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 111 | 0.081 | 86.8 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 14 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ramón Laureano | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 21 | 0.220 | 89.6 | 15.4% | 18.2% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 25.7% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Jackson Merrill | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 35 | 0.157 | 88.6 | 12.7% | 16.7% | 399 | 15.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Xander Bogaerts | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 42 | 0.155 | 90.2 | 7.5% | 20.0% | 385 | 10.5% | 10.0% | 18.5% | 28 |
| 4 |
|
Ty France | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 58 | 0.134 | 89.0 | 11.5% | 25.0% | 427 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.6% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Manny Machado | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 70 | 0.098 | 87.4 | 4.8% | 18.2% | 384 | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 80 | 0.043 | 93.7 | 13.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Miguel Andujar | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 96 | 0.123 | 90.1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Jake Cronenworth | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 98 | 0.064 | 88.8 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 399 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Freddy Fermin | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 110 | 0.075 | 88.3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 11 |