⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PIT
@ 12:15p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
0.996
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 32 0.287 89.5 7.4% 27.8% 397 15.0% 18.2% 29.1% 32
2 Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 102 0.200 95.8 8.5% 29.2% 410 20.9% 9.1% 14.2% 25
3 Spencer Horwitz Spencer Horwitz 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 144 0.167 86.7 4.2% 16.1% 380 5.1% 10.0% 10.3% 30
4 Esmerlyn Valdez Esmerlyn Valdez 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 174 0.152 90.0 4.0% 14.3% 402 0.0% 0.0% 14.6% 11
5 Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez 35 ⚪ D · · 203 0.175 88.5 6.0% 9.5% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.8% 12
6 Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 230 0.132 90.8 5.7% 11.8% 415 8.9% 0.0% 7.6% 37
7 Nick Gonzales Nick Gonzales 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 281 0.052 87.0 2.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 35
8 Jake Mangum Jake Mangum 13 ⚪ D · · 282 0.021 83.1 · 28.6% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 13
9 Jared Triolo Jared Triolo 12 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 283 0.061 85.4 3.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 139 0.184 93.1 8.4% 31.0% 411 12.5% 0.0% 10.2% 22
2 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 154 0.154 86.5 5.6% 16.0% 387 8.1% 8.3% 9.8% 34
3 George Springer George Springer 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 163 0.164 87.5 6.3% 26.7% 387 8.9% 18.2% 14.7% 32
4 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 37 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 184 0.171 90.9 6.0% 23.1% 400 11.1% 0.0% 11.8% 25
5 Yohendrick Piñango 36 ⚪ D · · 201 0.098 89.8 5.3% 9.1% 348 16.7% 20.0% 7.5% 30
6 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 33 ⚪ D · · 216 0.148 85.7 4.2% 15.4% 382 2.8% 8.3% 14.5% 26
7 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 217 0.131 86.1 3.3% 3.1% 370 6.2% 10.0% 5.0% 35
8 Brandon Valenzuela Brandon Valenzuela 30 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 231 0.158 89.5 6.5% 25.0% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 20
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 235 0.106 90.4 5.9% 10.0% 412 6.0% 8.3% 5.6% 45
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