⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Christian Walker 5 HRs · 2 Casey Schmitt 5 HRs · 3 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 6 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 9 Munetaka Murakami 4 HRs · 10 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
PHI
@ 10:15p
LAD
Dodger Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.25×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.255
Temp
66.5°F
Wind
4.6 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 84 🟢 A +220 🌤️ WARM 3 0.366 93.4 13.3% 41.2% 402 28.6% 20.0% 40.7% 22
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 74 🟡 B +400 🌤️ WARM 10 0.251 89.5 10.4% 16.7% 407 21.6% 25.0% 31.8% 31
3 Trea Turner Trea Turner 55 🟠 C +525 🌤️ WARM 66 0.128 90.0 6.9% 5.9% 394 13.7% 25.0% 11.5% 37
4 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 50 🟠 C +575 🔥 HOT 88 0.116 90.3 4.8% 22.2% 371 8.0% 16.7% 8.9% 40
5 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 49 ⚪ D +750 · 91 0.155 90.3 7.2% 9.4% 390 10.6% 16.7% 12.0% 36
6 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 47 ⚪ D +750 🌤️ WARM 110 0.149 89.9 6.9% 0.0% 392 6.2% 9.1% 8.6% 24
7 J. T. Realmuto J. T. Realmuto 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.079 88.7 4.7% 0.0% 393 100.0% 100.0% 6.2% 25
8 Adolis García Adolis García 33 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 185 0.107 92.2 7.3% 28.6% 388 2.5% 0.0% 9.4% 15
9 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 213 0.113 87.5 3.5% 7.4% 382 5.4% 0.0% 8.8% 33
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Andy Pages Andy Pages 68 🔵 C+ +425 🌤️ WARM 21 0.234 90.3 8.1% 26.5% 388 18.9% 33.3% 26.4% 40
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 64 🔵 C+ +320 🌧️ COOL 30 0.249 91.7 11.4% 26.8% 407 18.0% 12.5% 23.5% 17
3 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 61 🔵 C+ +265 · 42 0.212 93.2 10.8% 14.7% 403 11.5% 16.7% 17.1% 35
4 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 59 🟠 C +475 🌤️ WARM 50 0.187 91.9 9.5% 10.8% 397 9.8% 18.2% 20.9% 22
5 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.184 89.8 8.9% 25.0% 383 9.8% 25.0% 20.4% 31
6 Will Smith Will Smith 46 ⚪ D +500 · 116 0.122 90.0 9.8% 12.5% 401 10.0% 10.0% 7.4% 28
7 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 39 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 153 0.117 88.7 7.8% 11.8% 388 3.0% 0.0% 11.0% 3
8 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 36 ⚪ D +525 🌧️ COOL 168 0.144 89.1 6.2% 8.3% 397 3.8% 0.0% 9.2% 31
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 229 0.067 85.8 5.0% 6.7% 372 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 23
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