⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
PHI
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.06×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.167
Temp
46.3°F
Wind
13.8 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 88 🟢 A · · 2 0.295 92.9 21.8% 34.8% 402 25.0% 27.3% 32.4% 32
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 76 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 10 0.257 88.5 13.9% 24.0% 411 20.0% 27.3% 28.7% 38
3 Garrett Stubbs Garrett Stubbs 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 51 0.147 93.0 13.3% 25.0% 420 0.0% 0.0% 11.4% 7
4 Trea Turner Trea Turner 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 61 0.133 88.8 4.8% 10.0% 386 10.0% 18.2% 10.7% 41
5 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 45 ⚪ D · · 67 0.188 91.6 5.9% 21.1% 398 5.3% 9.1% 13.9% 36
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 105 0.095 88.5 1.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 35
7 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 31 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 106 0.056 88.8 1.3% 7.7% 354 5.0% 0.0% 7.1% 36
8 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 142 0.028 89.9 5.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% 28
9 Felix Reyes Felix Reyes 13 ⚪ D · · 151 · 91.4 0.0% 0.0% 348 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% 0
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 74 🟡 B · · 14 0.260 89.7 15.9% 33.3% 397 30.4% 18.2% 34.3% 38
2 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 72 🟡 B · · 16 0.244 90.6 14.1% 26.1% 393 21.7% 27.3% 33.5% 37
3 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 51 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 44 0.152 92.1 13.5% 16.7% 414 9.5% 20.0% 16.5% 26
4 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.178 85.9 3.1% 15.4% 383 17.4% 27.3% 13.5% 56
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 47 ⚪ D · · 60 0.187 88.1 8.2% 16.7% 361 15.8% 0.0% 13.1% 17
6 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 46 ⚪ D · · 63 0.196 89.2 8.1% 30.0% 407 0.0% 0.0% 25.9% 35
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 37 ⚪ D · · 87 0.128 90.0 7.7% 15.0% 395 4.8% 0.0% 9.1% 47
8 Michael Busch Michael Busch 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 114 0.094 84.1 6.8% 8.7% 398 4.3% 9.1% 9.6% 34
9 Miguel Amaya Miguel Amaya 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 120 0.091 84.4 3.2% 12.5% 390 50.0% 0.0% 8.7% 17
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