⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:40p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.001
Temp
63.3°F
Wind
6.1 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 85 🟢 A · · 5 0.337 93.6 27.3% 38.1% 409 26.3% 27.3% 34.2% 28
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 75 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 19 0.262 88.9 15.1% 21.7% 422 21.1% 27.3% 28.6% 34
3 Adolis García Adolis García 39 ⚪ D · · 130 0.123 92.7 11.6% 14.3% 377 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 26
4 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 35 ⚪ D · · 160 0.132 90.9 6.5% 12.5% 413 5.6% 9.1% 7.9% 30
5 Trea Turner Trea Turner 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 163 0.106 87.3 1.8% 8.0% 359 10.5% 18.2% 7.6% 38
6 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.117 88.1 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 33
7 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 22 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 220 0.051 88.5 0.0% 8.3% 354 5.3% 0.0% 7.4% 32
8 J.T. Realmuto 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 234 0.093 88.5 3.1% 7.1% 401 5.6% 0.0% 7.2% 24
9 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 15 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 245 0.032 89.9 6.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 26
Kyle Backhus
Kyle Backhus LHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 81 🟢 A · · 8 0.268 90.9 18.4% 31.6% 377 31.8% 18.2% 28.9% 31
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 75 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 17 0.222 93.8 16.7% 27.3% 403 12.5% 16.7% 30.7% 19
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 67 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 34 0.213 90.7 13.5% 25.0% 377 22.7% 27.3% 30.3% 31
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 66 0.156 95.2 13.5% 20.0% 422 10.0% 20.0% 19.2% 25
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 48 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 86 0.193 87.6 8.1% 16.7% 361 16.7% 0.0% 14.3% 19
6 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 48 ⚪ D · · 89 0.207 84.6 0.0% 16.7% 369 18.2% 36.4% 24.9% 51
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 29 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 189 0.095 90.7 6.7% 11.1% 388 5.0% 0.0% 9.0% 40
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.078 91.8 4.3% 5.6% 389 4.5% 0.0% 8.1% 32
9 Michael Busch Michael Busch 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.025 84.7 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 30
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