PHI
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
1.001
Temp
63.3°F
Wind
6.1 mph
out
Roof
open
Matthew Boyd
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 85 | 🟢 A | · | · | 5 | 0.337 | 93.6 | 27.3% | 38.1% | 409 | 26.3% | 27.3% | 34.2% | 28 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 19 | 0.262 | 88.9 | 15.1% | 21.7% | 422 | 21.1% | 27.3% | 28.6% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Adolis García | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 130 | 0.123 | 92.7 | 11.6% | 14.3% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 160 | 0.132 | 90.9 | 6.5% | 12.5% | 413 | 5.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Trea Turner | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 163 | 0.106 | 87.3 | 1.8% | 8.0% | 359 | 10.5% | 18.2% | 7.6% | 38 |
| 6 |
|
Justin Crawford | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 182 | 0.117 | 88.1 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 33 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 220 | 0.051 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 354 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 32 |
| 8 | J.T. Realmuto | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 234 | 0.093 | 88.5 | 3.1% | 7.1% | 401 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 24 | |
| 9 |
|
Bryson Stott | 15 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 245 | 0.032 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 26 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 81 | 🟢 A | · | · | 8 | 0.268 | 90.9 | 18.4% | 31.6% | 377 | 31.8% | 18.2% | 28.9% | 31 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 17 | 0.222 | 93.8 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 403 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 30.7% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 34 | 0.213 | 90.7 | 13.5% | 25.0% | 377 | 22.7% | 27.3% | 30.3% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Kelly | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 66 | 0.156 | 95.2 | 13.5% | 20.0% | 422 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 86 | 0.193 | 87.6 | 8.1% | 16.7% | 361 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 19 |
| 6 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 89 | 0.207 | 84.6 | 0.0% | 16.7% | 369 | 18.2% | 36.4% | 24.9% | 51 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 29 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 189 | 0.095 | 90.7 | 6.7% | 11.1% | 388 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.078 | 91.8 | 4.3% | 5.6% | 389 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Michael Busch | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.025 | 84.7 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 30 |