PHI
@
7:40p
CHC
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.697
Temp
36.4°F
Wind
4.2 mph
in
Roof
open
Colin Rea
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 85 | 🟢 A | · | · | 7 | 0.333 | 93.6 | 27.3% | 36.8% | 409 | 23.5% | 18.2% | 33.4% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 71 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 23 | 0.246 | 88.9 | 15.1% | 18.2% | 422 | 17.6% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Adolis García | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 74 | 0.137 | 92.7 | 11.6% | 15.4% | 377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.5% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 38 | ⚪ D | · | · | 100 | 0.147 | 90.9 | 6.5% | 13.3% | 413 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Justin Crawford | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 110 | 0.103 | 88.1 | 2.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Trea Turner | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.116 | 87.3 | 1.8% | 9.5% | 359 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 7.7% | 39 |
| 7 |
|
Alec Bohm | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 145 | 0.055 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 354 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 30 |
| 8 |
|
Bryson Stott | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 146 | 0.034 | 89.9 | 6.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 27 |
| 9 | J.T. Realmuto | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 147 | 0.100 | 88.5 | 3.1% | 7.7% | 401 | 6.2% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 23 |
Aaron Nola
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Ian Happ | 80 | 🟢 A | · | · | 8 | 0.293 | 90.9 | 18.4% | 35.3% | 377 | 35.0% | 18.2% | 31.1% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 75 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 15 | 0.227 | 93.8 | 16.7% | 27.3% | 403 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 31.0% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Dansby Swanson ⚡ | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 36 | 0.189 | 90.7 | 13.5% | 21.1% | 377 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 25.1% | 31 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Kelly ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 39 | 0.166 | 95.2 | 13.5% | 20.0% | 422 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 25 |
| 5 |
|
Matt Shaw | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 50 | 0.208 | 87.6 | 8.1% | 18.2% | 361 | 18.8% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Nico Hoerner ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 94 | 0.193 | 84.6 | 0.0% | 15.0% | 369 | 15.0% | 27.3% | 16.6% | 51 |
| 7 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.087 | 91.8 | 4.3% | 5.9% | 389 | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 32 |
| 8 |
|
Alex Bregman | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 144 | 0.081 | 90.7 | 6.7% | 12.5% | 388 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 41 |
| 9 |
|
Michael Busch | 15 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 162 | 0.028 | 84.7 | 4.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 31 |