⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
PHI
@ 7:40p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.697
Temp
36.4°F
Wind
4.2 mph
in
Roof
open
Colin Rea
Colin Rea RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kyle Schwarber Kyle Schwarber 85 🟢 A · · 7 0.333 93.6 27.3% 36.8% 409 23.5% 18.2% 33.4% 25
2 Bryce Harper Bryce Harper 71 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 23 0.246 88.9 15.1% 18.2% 422 17.6% 18.2% 19.1% 34
3 Adolis García Adolis García 42 ⚪ D · · 74 0.137 92.7 11.6% 15.4% 377 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 24
4 Brandon Marsh Brandon Marsh 38 ⚪ D · · 100 0.147 90.9 6.5% 13.3% 413 6.2% 9.1% 8.9% 26
5 Justin Crawford Justin Crawford 34 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 110 0.103 88.1 2.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 29
6 Trea Turner Trea Turner 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 117 0.116 87.3 1.8% 9.5% 359 11.8% 18.2% 7.7% 39
7 Alec Bohm Alec Bohm 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 145 0.055 88.5 0.0% 8.3% 354 5.9% 0.0% 7.4% 30
8 Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 23 ⚪ D · · 146 0.034 89.9 6.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 27
9 J.T. Realmuto 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.100 88.5 3.1% 7.7% 401 6.2% 0.0% 7.3% 23
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Ian Happ Ian Happ 80 🟢 A · · 8 0.293 90.9 18.4% 35.3% 377 35.0% 18.2% 31.1% 29
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 75 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 15 0.227 93.8 16.7% 27.3% 403 16.7% 25.0% 31.0% 23
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 61 🔵 C+ · · 36 0.189 90.7 13.5% 21.1% 377 20.0% 18.2% 25.1% 31
4 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 59 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.166 95.2 13.5% 20.0% 422 11.1% 20.0% 20.2% 25
5 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 52 🟠 C · · 50 0.208 87.6 8.1% 18.2% 361 18.8% 12.5% 15.4% 22
6 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 39 ⚪ D · · 94 0.193 84.6 0.0% 15.0% 369 15.0% 27.3% 16.6% 51
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 124 0.087 91.8 4.3% 5.9% 389 5.0% 9.1% 8.1% 32
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 144 0.081 90.7 6.7% 12.5% 388 5.6% 0.0% 9.1% 41
9 Michael Busch Michael Busch 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 162 0.028 84.7 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 31
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