NYY
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.951
Temp
75.8°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
Jacob deGrom
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 87 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 5 | 0.369 | 92.2 | 24.6% | 35.7% | 407 | 28.0% | 33.3% | 32.7% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice | 86 | 🟢 A | · | · | 6 | 0.422 | 95.5 | 21.6% | 37.5% | 391 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 35.8% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Giancarlo Stanton | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 31 | 0.166 | 94.1 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 410 | 20.0% | 22.2% | 17.0% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Trent Grisham | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 90 | 0.176 | 91.2 | 10.3% | 20.0% | 372 | 8.3% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 28 |
| 5 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 103 | 0.138 | 88.6 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 363 | 12.5% | 27.3% | 13.6% | 26 | |
| 6 |
|
Ryan McMahon | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 112 | 0.091 | 93.9 | 12.1% | 18.2% | 354 | 20.0% | 22.2% | 15.2% | 20 |
| 7 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 126 | 0.140 | 88.3 | 7.7% | 8.7% | 384 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Austin Wells | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 179 | 0.105 | 91.5 | 6.3% | 18.2% | 396 | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
José Caballero | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 191 | 0.141 | 84.5 | 3.1% | 9.1% | 354 | 15.4% | 18.2% | 8.3% | 38 |
Cam Schlittler
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Josh Jung | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 48 | 0.247 | 91.0 | 2.9% | 23.1% | 373 | 16.7% | 36.4% | 29.3% | 43 |
| 2 |
|
Corey Seager | 53 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 67 | 0.211 | 90.4 | 15.2% | 33.3% | 402 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 49 | ⚪ D | · | · | 86 | 0.178 | 90.8 | 12.3% | 21.1% | 396 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 44 |
| 4 |
|
Evan Carter | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 116 | 0.155 | 90.2 | 10.2% | 15.0% | 381 | 20.0% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 30 |
| 5 |
|
Jake Burger | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 150 | 0.167 | 88.5 | 9.5% | 26.3% | 404 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 35 |
| 6 |
|
Wyatt Langford | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 194 | 0.125 | 90.8 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 365 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Joc Pederson | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 199 | 0.111 | 93.2 | 0.0% | 11.1% | 361 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 16 |
| 8 |
|
Danny Jansen | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 202 | 0.110 | 87.2 | 5.3% | 17.6% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.4% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Josh Smith | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 205 | 0.025 | 88.0 | 6.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 23 |