⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
NYY
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.951
Temp
75.8°F
Wind
11.5 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 87 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.369 92.2 24.6% 35.7% 407 28.0% 33.3% 32.7% 29
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 86 🟢 A · · 6 0.422 95.5 21.6% 37.5% 391 33.3% 50.0% 35.8% 33
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 69 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 31 0.166 94.1 18.0% 15.4% 410 20.0% 22.2% 17.0% 22
4 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 48 ⚪ D · · 90 0.176 91.2 10.3% 20.0% 372 8.3% 16.7% 18.4% 28
5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 103 0.138 88.6 5.1% 7.7% 363 12.5% 27.3% 13.6% 26
6 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 112 0.091 93.9 12.1% 18.2% 354 20.0% 22.2% 15.2% 20
7 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.140 88.3 7.7% 8.7% 384 8.3% 9.1% 9.4% 35
8 Austin Wells Austin Wells 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 179 0.105 91.5 6.3% 18.2% 396 9.5% 11.1% 9.1% 23
9 José Caballero José Caballero 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 191 0.141 84.5 3.1% 9.1% 354 15.4% 18.2% 8.3% 38
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Josh Jung Josh Jung 61 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 48 0.247 91.0 2.9% 23.1% 373 16.7% 36.4% 29.3% 43
2 Corey Seager Corey Seager 53 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 67 0.211 90.4 15.2% 33.3% 402 21.7% 10.0% 13.2% 34
3 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 49 ⚪ D · · 86 0.178 90.8 12.3% 21.1% 396 12.5% 9.1% 8.2% 44
4 Evan Carter Evan Carter 42 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 116 0.155 90.2 10.2% 15.0% 381 20.0% 11.1% 6.5% 30
5 Jake Burger Jake Burger 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 150 0.167 88.5 9.5% 26.3% 404 8.3% 0.0% 12.4% 35
6 Wyatt Langford Wyatt Langford 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.125 90.8 4.9% 8.3% 365 4.8% 0.0% 7.6% 21
7 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 24 ⚪ D · · 199 0.111 93.2 0.0% 11.1% 361 11.1% 11.1% 6.5% 16
8 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 202 0.110 87.2 5.3% 17.6% 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 18
9 Josh Smith Josh Smith 21 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 205 0.025 88.0 6.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 23
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