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NYY
@
7:10p
HOU
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.143
Temp
76.5°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
Mike Burrows
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Aaron Judge | 98 | 🥇 S | · | 🌤️ WARM | 1 | 0.322 | 92.2 | 24.6% | 47.4% | 407 | 22.7% | 27.3% | 47.0% | 29 |
| 2 |
|
Ben Rice | 98 | 🥇 S | · | · | 2 | 0.431 | 95.5 | 21.6% | 60.0% | 391 | 33.3% | 45.5% | 49.3% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Giancarlo Stanton | 79 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 21 | 0.166 | 94.1 | 18.0% | 17.6% | 410 | 25.0% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 27 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan McMahon | 59 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 68 | 0.113 | 93.9 | 12.1% | 18.2% | 354 | 28.6% | 28.6% | 18.2% | 18 |
| 5 |
|
Trent Grisham | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 78 | 0.162 | 91.2 | 10.3% | 15.0% | 372 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 22.0% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Cody Bellinger | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 103 | 0.155 | 88.3 | 7.7% | 10.7% | 384 | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 39 |
| 7 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 125 | 0.124 | 88.6 | 5.1% | 13.3% | 363 | 9.5% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 28 | |
| 8 |
|
José Caballero | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.125 | 84.5 | 3.1% | 15.4% | 354 | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 38 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Wells | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.066 | 91.5 | 6.3% | 6.2% | 396 | 5.3% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 26 |
Ryan Weathers
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 93 | 🔥 A+ | · | · | 3 | 0.419 | 94.2 | 20.5% | 27.5% | 390 | 54.5% | 55.6% | 40.8% | 50 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.231 | 89.7 | 11.7% | 26.3% | 393 | 16.0% | 8.3% | 26.7% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 57 | 🟠 C | · | · | 73 | 0.154 | 89.2 | 14.9% | 15.8% | 403 | 12.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 108 | 0.120 | 87.7 | 4.5% | 16.7% | 380 | 8.7% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Jose Altuve | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 124 | 0.159 | 85.8 | 7.5% | 21.4% | 378 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 42 |
| 6 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 142 | 0.128 | 88.5 | 3.3% | 9.5% | 379 | 4.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 38 |
| 7 |
|
Brice Matthews | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.150 | 88.1 | 9.1% | 20.0% | 434 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 188 | 0.086 | 90.0 | 5.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 14 |
| 9 |
|
Carlos Correa | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 189 | 0.099 | 88.5 | 8.1% | 10.0% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 35 |