⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
NYY
@ 8:10p
HOU
Minute Maid Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.143
Temp
76.5°F
Wind
6.9 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Aaron Judge Aaron Judge 99 🥇 S · 🌤️ WARM 1 0.322 92.2 24.6% 47.4% 407 23.8% 27.3% 47.1% 29
2 Ben Rice Ben Rice 99 🥇 S · · 2 0.431 95.5 21.6% 60.0% 391 30.0% 40.0% 49.4% 27
3 Giancarlo Stanton Giancarlo Stanton 80 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 19 0.166 94.1 18.0% 17.6% 410 28.6% 28.6% 20.7% 27
4 Trent Grisham Trent Grisham 57 🟠 C · · 71 0.162 91.2 10.3% 15.0% 372 5.0% 10.0% 22.0% 29
5 Ryan McMahon Ryan McMahon 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 78 0.113 93.9 12.1% 18.2% 354 16.7% 16.7% 18.3% 18
6 Cody Bellinger Cody Bellinger 52 🟠 C · · 95 0.155 88.3 7.7% 10.7% 384 10.0% 10.0% 11.9% 39
7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 44 ⚪ D · · 128 0.124 88.6 5.1% 13.3% 363 5.0% 10.0% 14.8% 28
8 J.C. Escarra 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 146 · 91.1 11.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 10.8% 11
9 José Caballero José Caballero 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 148 0.125 84.5 3.1% 15.4% 354 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 38
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 93 🔥 A+ · · 4 0.419 94.2 20.5% 27.5% 390 60.0% 66.7% 37.4% 50
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 61 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 63 0.231 89.7 11.7% 26.3% 393 16.7% 8.3% 24.4% 32
3 Cam Smith Cam Smith 56 🟠 C · · 76 0.154 89.2 14.9% 15.8% 403 12.5% 0.0% 11.2% 33
4 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 119 0.120 87.7 4.5% 16.7% 380 4.5% 9.1% 12.4% 31
5 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 45 ⚪ D · · 122 0.159 85.8 7.5% 21.4% 378 8.7% 9.1% 12.3% 42
6 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 137 0.128 88.5 3.3% 9.5% 379 4.2% 8.3% 9.1% 38
7 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.150 88.1 9.1% 20.0% 434 0.0% 0.0% 10.9% 12
8 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.099 88.5 8.1% 10.0% 402 0.0% 0.0% 8.8% 35
9 Dustin Harris Dustin Harris 30 ⚪ D · · 196 0.125 84.7 0.0% 33.3% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.9% 12
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