NYY
@
6:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.30×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.174
Temp
59.7°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Will Warren
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 49 | ⚪ D | +700 | 🌧️ COOL | 24 | 0.279 | 89.8 | · | 20.7% | 388 | 20.5% | 0.0% | 26.4% | 40 |
| 2 |
|
Pete Alonso | 48 | ⚪ D | +425 | 🌤️ WARM | 30 | 0.162 | 94.3 | · | 25.0% | 394 | 17.1% | 33.3% | 22.4% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 44 | ⚪ D | +625 | · | 43 | 0.221 | 93.2 | · | 23.5% | 410 | 11.5% | 0.0% | 24.0% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Coby Mayo | 39 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.166 | 90.3 | · | 7.7% | 419 | 10.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 37 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌧️ COOL | 79 | 0.185 | 87.5 | · | 26.1% | 396 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Leody Taveras | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 136 | 0.143 | 87.1 | · | 15.8% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.1% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 174 | 0.125 | 87.4 | · | 14.3% | 406 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Taylor Ward | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 196 | 0.142 | 88.2 | · | 0.0% | 394 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 10 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 241 | 0.018 | 92.2 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 20 |