⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
NYY
@ 6:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 9 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.30×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.174
Temp
59.7°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 49 ⚪ D +700 🌧️ COOL 24 0.279 89.8 · 20.7% 388 20.5% 0.0% 26.4% 40
2 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 48 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 30 0.162 94.3 · 25.0% 394 17.1% 33.3% 22.4% 39
3 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 44 ⚪ D +625 · 43 0.221 93.2 · 23.5% 410 11.5% 0.0% 24.0% 29
4 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 39 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 68 0.166 90.3 · 7.7% 419 10.8% 6.7% 10.5% 20
5 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 37 ⚪ D +850 🌧️ COOL 79 0.185 87.5 · 26.1% 396 13.8% 13.3% 14.8% 29
6 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 30 ⚪ D · · 136 0.143 87.1 · 15.8% 409 0.0% 0.0% 14.1% 28
7 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 174 0.125 87.4 · 14.3% 406 3.8% 0.0% 12.7% 23
8 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 196 0.142 88.2 · 0.0% 394 2.4% 0.0% 6.7% 21
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 241 0.018 92.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.7% 20
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

6 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.80

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.