⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
NYM
@ 4:05p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.01×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
mild air · strong wind out · roof open
Combined
1.408
Temp
65.6°F
Wind
15.0 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 83 🟢 A · · 4 0.281 96.4 26.3% 27.3% 406 28.1% 27.3% 32.5% 38
2 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 56 🟠 C · · 25 0.240 89.9 10.2% 7.7% 389 16.1% 9.1% 13.7% 39
3 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 55 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 26 0.170 87.8 7.6% 0.0% 405 12.9% 18.2% 11.1% 47
4 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 49 ⚪ D · · 37 0.216 89.4 9.1% 15.4% 394 12.5% 0.0% 11.1% 17
5 Brady House Brady House 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 47 0.160 89.0 10.5% 18.2% 391 14.3% 11.1% 11.3% 31
6 Luis García Jr. 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 50 0.165 92.6 6.5% 13.0% 388 3.2% 10.0% 11.8% 37
7 Jacob Young Jacob Young 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 54 0.095 88.0 5.4% 7.7% 390 10.3% 30.0% 9.7% 35
8 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 26 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 101 0.051 82.5 2.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 17
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 113 0.024 84.1 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 70 🟡 B · · 11 0.202 92.6 17.8% 31.8% 396 17.1% 33.3% 25.1% 41
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 53 🟠 C · · 30 0.191 90.9 11.5% 20.8% 406 12.2% 16.7% 10.7% 47
3 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 49 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.152 90.3 16.5% 17.6% 415 0.0% 0.0% 7.9% 8
4 Brett Baty Brett Baty 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 43 0.113 90.5 9.9% 12.5% 415 6.5% 16.7% 10.0% 29
5 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 67 0.129 90.9 9.5% 12.5% 406 5.3% 0.0% 6.3% 8
6 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 68 0.064 90.9 6.7% 3.7% 389 8.7% 16.7% 6.6% 46
7 Carson Benge Carson Benge 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 81 0.107 90.1 6.6% 12.0% 403 3.0% 0.0% 7.1% 47
8 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 31 ⚪ D · · 88 0.098 86.0 7.2% 8.6% 396 4.3% 8.3% 5.7% 39
9 Luis Robert Jr. 25 ⚪ D · · 102 0.105 90.2 2.9% 0.0% 400 3.7% 0.0% 5.7% 0
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.73

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.