NYM
@
6:45p
WSH
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
mild air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.991
Temp
70.9°F
Wind
4.6 mph
cross
Roof
open
Zach Thornton
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 87 | 🟢 A | · | · | 3 | 0.281 | 96.4 | 26.3% | 34.6% | 406 | 29.0% | 27.3% | 32.7% | 36 |
| 2 |
|
CJ Abrams | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 37 | 0.240 | 89.9 | 10.2% | 31.0% | 389 | 13.3% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 40 |
| 3 |
|
Curtis Mead | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 58 | 0.216 | 89.4 | 9.1% | 25.0% | 394 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Daylen Lile | 56 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.170 | 87.8 | 7.6% | 16.7% | 405 | 13.3% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 45 |
| 5 |
|
Brady House ⚡ | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 65 | 0.160 | 89.0 | 10.5% | 26.3% | 391 | 14.8% | 22.2% | 18.5% | 36 |
| 6 | Luis García Jr. | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.165 | 92.6 | 6.5% | 8.7% | 388 | 3.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 35 | |
| 7 |
|
Jacob Young | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 116 | 0.095 | 88.0 | 5.4% | 21.1% | 390 | 7.1% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Jorbit Vivas | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 201 | 0.051 | 82.5 | 2.5% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 14 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 255 | 0.024 | 84.1 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 29 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 74 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 17 | 0.202 | 92.6 | 17.8% | 26.3% | 396 | 14.7% | 33.3% | 36.6% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos ⚡ | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 44 | 0.191 | 90.9 | 11.5% | 21.7% | 406 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 46 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 46 | 0.152 | 90.3 | 16.5% | 17.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.4% | 12 |
| 4 |
|
Brett Baty | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 68 | 0.113 | 90.5 | 9.9% | 9.1% | 415 | 6.7% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 31 |
| 5 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 83 | 0.129 | 90.9 | 9.5% | 12.5% | 406 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 12 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.064 | 90.9 | 6.7% | 4.2% | 389 | 8.9% | 16.7% | 7.5% | 48 |
| 7 |
|
Marcus Semien | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 121 | 0.098 | 86.0 | 7.2% | 9.1% | 396 | 4.4% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 40 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Benge | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.107 | 90.1 | 6.6% | 13.6% | 403 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 47 |
| 9 | Luis Robert Jr. | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 193 | 0.105 | 90.2 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 400 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 9.9% | 0 |