NYM
@
9:20p
COL
Park Factor
1.07×
Weather Mod
-6.0%
cold air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.429
Temp
32.4°F
Wind
11.5 mph
in
Roof
open
Freddy Peralta
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 6 | 0.318 | 93.1 | · | 30.8% | 403 | 20.7% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 7 | 0.345 | 90.2 | · | 32.1% | 421 | 24.1% | 25.0% | 41.6% | 31 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 129 | 0.141 | 91.0 | · | 21.4% | 389 | 6.7% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 18 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 155 | 0.154 | 86.2 | · | 18.5% | 418 | 4.5% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 42 | |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 160 | 0.110 | 89.0 | · | 6.7% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 21 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 181 | 0.142 | 89.1 | · | 21.4% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.1% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.097 | 87.4 | · | 11.1% | 401 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Karros | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 226 | 0.068 | 90.4 | · | 11.1% | 448 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 22 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.073 | 89.4 | · | 8.3% | 408 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 14 |
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Juan Soto | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 44 | 0.218 | 92.9 | · | 20.0% | 367 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 95 | 0.169 | 89.5 | · | 17.6% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Mark Vientos | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 106 | 0.111 | 89.9 | · | 28.6% | 411 | 10.7% | 7.7% | 16.9% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Carson Benge | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 127 | 0.093 | 91.0 | · | 18.8% | 403 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 18.7% | 27 |
| 5 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.129 | 90.9 | · | 12.5% | 406 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 2 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 143 | 0.089 | 91.2 | · | 9.1% | 365 | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Brett Baty | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 183 | 0.102 | 89.4 | · | 5.3% | 414 | 3.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 23 |
| 8 | Luis Robert Jr. | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 191 | 0.105 | 90.2 | · | 0.0% | 400 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 10 | |
| 9 |
|
Marcus Semien | 22 | ⚪ D | · | · | 210 | 0.076 | 85.7 | · | 3.5% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.4% | 35 |