NYM
@
8:40p
COL
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cold air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.772
Temp
39.3°F
Wind
10.2 mph
cross
Roof
open
Freddy Peralta
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 61 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 7 | 0.345 | 90.3 | · | 32.0% | 421 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 42.7% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 11 | 0.270 | 93.3 | · | 34.8% | 403 | 21.4% | 27.3% | 24.6% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 116 | 0.141 | 91.1 | · | 23.1% | 389 | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 20 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 33 | ⚪ D | · | · | 122 | 0.153 | 85.9 | · | 16.7% | 418 | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 44 | |
| 5 |
|
Willi Castro | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 157 | 0.102 | 89.0 | · | 7.7% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.6% | 22 |
| 6 |
|
Troy Johnston | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 181 | 0.142 | 89.1 | · | 21.4% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 204 | 0.101 | 87.1 | · | 11.5% | 401 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 218 | 0.065 | 89.6 | · | 8.3% | 408 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 14 |
| 9 |
|
Kyle Karros | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 227 | 0.072 | 90.4 | · | 11.1% | 448 | 4.8% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 25 |
Michael Lorenzen
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Carson Benge | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 57 | 0.098 | 90.6 | · | 13.3% | 387 | 5.3% | 8.3% | 16.1% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Mark Vientos | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.111 | 89.3 | · | 20.0% | 411 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 24 |
| 3 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.177 | 89.5 | · | 18.8% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 95 | 0.107 | 87.3 | · | 12.5% | 346 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 10.7% | 32 |
| 5 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 103 | 0.129 | 90.9 | · | 12.5% | 406 | 7.1% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 4 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 144 | 0.094 | 91.8 | · | 10.0% | 365 | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 46 |
| 7 | Luis Robert Jr. | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 171 | 0.105 | 90.2 | · | 0.0% | 400 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 14 | |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 182 | 0.106 | 89.7 | · | 5.9% | 414 | 3.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 24 |
| 9 |
|
Marcus Semien | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 187 | 0.077 | 85.9 | · | 3.6% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 37 |