⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 6 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 7 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 8 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 9 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 10 James Wood 4 HRs · 11 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 12 Ketel Marte 4 HRs
NYM
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.249
Temp
47.2°F
Wind
13.3 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 84 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 13 0.250 93.8 16.7% 30.0% 403 25.0% 50.0% 33.0% 20
2 Ian Happ Ian Happ 82 🟢 A · · 14 0.272 90.9 18.4% 35.7% 377 33.3% 25.0% 31.9% 27
3 Dansby Swanson Dansby Swanson 69 🔵 C+ · · 42 0.209 90.7 13.5% 25.0% 377 22.2% 33.3% 28.1% 31
4 Matt Shaw Matt Shaw 60 🔵 C+ · · 64 0.212 87.6 8.1% 18.2% 361 20.0% 30.0% 23.8% 26
5 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 109 0.122 95.2 13.5% 11.1% 422 6.2% 9.1% 8.8% 25
6 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 45 ⚪ D · · 123 0.211 84.6 0.0% 17.6% 369 16.7% 25.0% 19.9% 47
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 32 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 192 0.066 91.8 4.3% 7.1% 389 5.6% 8.3% 8.2% 33
8 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 211 0.088 90.7 6.7% 13.3% 388 6.2% 0.0% 9.0% 41
9 Michael Busch Michael Busch 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 247 0.031 84.7 4.5% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 30
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 69 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 40 0.255 89.6 22.2% 40.0% 415 0.0% 0.0% 23.7% 24
2 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 45 ⚪ D · · 119 0.113 89.1 8.6% 7.1% 402 5.9% 10.0% 9.2% 42
3 Luis Robert Jr. 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.113 89.5 5.0% 20.0% 400 25.0% 0.0% 10.8% 26
4 Jorge Polanco Jorge Polanco 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.107 87.3 4.4% 10.0% 346 5.6% 11.1% 9.7% 25
5 Carson Benge Carson Benge 39 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 152 0.070 89.9 2.9% 12.5% 385 0.0% 0.0% 10.0% 25
6 Brett Baty Brett Baty 34 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 183 0.082 90.8 7.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 23
7 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 194 0.109 87.2 2.9% 9.1% 406 8.3% 0.0% 9.6% 27
8 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 31 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 197 0.085 86.7 5.9% 4.3% 407 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 36
9 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.072 90.4 1.8% 11.1% 344 5.9% 10.0% 9.9% 36
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