⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
NYM
@ 7:15p
AZ
Chase Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
warm air · light partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.873
Temp
77.7°F
Wind
3 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly RHP 💥 Meltdown
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Juan Soto Juan Soto 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 39 0.218 92.3 · 23.1% 384 8.0% 11.1% 30.0% 35
2 Mark Vientos Mark Vientos 35 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 90 0.111 90.2 · 27.8% 409 12.9% 15.4% 13.4% 25
3 Francisco Lindor Francisco Lindor 32 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 109 0.129 90.9 · 12.5% 406 6.2% 0.0% 6.5% 26
4 Francisco Alvarez Francisco Alvarez 31 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 122 0.169 90.3 · 17.6% 415 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 26
5 Luis Robert Jr. 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 188 0.105 90.2 · 0.0% 400 4.8% 0.0% 6.4% 3
6 Carson Benge Carson Benge 23 ⚪ D · · 189 0.093 90.7 · 16.7% 403 4.3% 8.3% 9.9% 28
7 Bo Bichette Bo Bichette 19 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 213 0.089 91.2 · 6.7% 365 5.6% 7.7% 5.9% 44
8 Brett Baty Brett Baty 16 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 231 0.102 89.5 · 4.8% 414 2.8% 0.0% 8.2% 24
9 Marcus Semien Marcus Semien 13 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 240 0.076 85.8 · 6.5% 401 2.8% 7.7% 5.6% 35
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Corbin Carroll Corbin Carroll 44 ⚪ D · · 44 0.274 89.7 · 25.0% 408 16.7% 16.7% 19.7% 32
2 Ildemaro Vargas Ildemaro Vargas 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 56 0.326 87.1 · 25.0% 395 13.6% 8.3% 15.3% 45
3 Adrian Del Castillo Adrian Del Castillo 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.167 88.9 · 18.8% 403 16.7% 18.2% 16.3% 21
4 Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 95 0.179 83.7 · 25.0% 401 15.6% 16.7% 15.3% 26
5 Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo 29 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 141 0.140 86.7 · 7.1% 382 4.5% 8.3% 6.9% 29
6 Jorge Barrosa Jorge Barrosa 28 ⚪ D · · 149 0.204 86.1 · 11.1% 351 4.8% 0.0% 10.8% 14
7 Alek Thomas Alek Thomas 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 181 0.171 89.9 · 12.5% 408 4.5% 8.3% 9.7% 19
8 Ketel Marte Ketel Marte 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 190 0.159 92.0 · 26.3% 411 4.8% 8.3% 10.3% 33
9 Jose Fernandez Jose Fernandez 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 217 0.145 89.7 · 42.9% 409 0.0% 0.0% 8.4% 23
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