MIN
@
6:45p
WSH
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
cool air · steady crosswind · roof open
Combined
0.978
Temp
61.8°F
Wind
12.7 mph
cross
Roof
open
Bailey Ober
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
James Wood | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 15 | 0.311 | 96.5 | · | 43.8% | 404 | 30.0% | 10.0% | 37.2% | 23 |
| 2 |
|
Curtis Mead | 46 | ⚪ D | · | · | 47 | 0.258 | 88.8 | · | 33.3% | 394 | 22.2% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
CJ Abrams | 40 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 79 | 0.238 | 89.3 | · | 33.3% | 388 | 15.8% | 20.0% | 27.0% | 30 |
| 4 |
|
Brady House | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 101 | 0.144 | 89.7 | · | 27.3% | 387 | 11.1% | 25.0% | 14.9% | 19 |
| 5 |
|
Daylen Lile | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 187 | 0.129 | 87.4 | · | 11.4% | 400 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 30 |
| 6 | Luis García Jr. | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 198 | 0.105 | 91.9 | · | 5.3% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 24 | |
| 7 |
|
Jorbit Vivas | 24 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 200 | 0.051 | 81.1 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 24 |
| 8 |
|
Jacob Young | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.114 | 88.4 | · | 18.2% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Nasim Nuñez | 14 | ⚪ D | · | · | 254 | 0.011 | 84.6 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 25 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 17 | 0.227 | 88.9 | · | 34.5% | 392 | 32.3% | 63.6% | 39.1% | 42 |
| 2 |
|
Brooks Lee | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 59 | 0.179 | 87.7 | · | 18.8% | 364 | 16.1% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 66 | 0.174 | 91.1 | · | 20.0% | 397 | 13.8% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 29 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 150 | 0.138 | 87.9 | · | 7.1% | 398 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 33 |
| 5 |
|
Josh Bell | 28 | ⚪ D | · | · | 165 | 0.131 | 89.1 | · | 11.8% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 37 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Wallner | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.116 | 88.5 | · | 50.0% | 413 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 12.4% | 21 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Martin | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 211 | 0.115 | 85.5 | · | 0.0% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 21 | ⚪ D | · | · | 217 | 0.060 | 84.6 | · | 10.0% | 367 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Victor Caratini | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 238 | 0.052 | 87.8 | · | 14.3% | 423 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 9.3% | 14 |