⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIN
@ 6:45p
WSH
Nationals Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.00×
Weather Mod
-3.0%
cool air · steady wind in · roof open
Combined
0.698
Temp
64.7°F
Wind
10.4 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 James Wood James Wood 57 🟠 C · · 12 0.316 96.2 · 50.0% 404 31.6% 20.0% 36.6% 23
2 Curtis Mead Curtis Mead 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 41 0.211 89.0 · 40.0% 394 25.0% 16.7% 27.0% 19
3 CJ Abrams CJ Abrams 44 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 48 0.238 89.7 · 33.3% 388 16.7% 20.0% 25.3% 30
4 Brady House Brady House 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 104 0.123 89.7 · 27.3% 387 11.8% 25.0% 15.6% 20
5 Luis García Jr. 25 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 177 0.105 91.9 · 5.6% 405 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 29
6 Jorbit Vivas Jorbit Vivas 24 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 183 0.051 81.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 23
7 Daylen Lile Daylen Lile 24 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 192 0.134 87.3 · 11.8% 400 11.1% 0.0% 7.7% 31
8 Jacob Young Jacob Young 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 212 0.118 88.7 · 20.0% 383 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 33
9 Nasim Nuñez Nasim Nuñez 14 ⚪ D · · 240 0.012 84.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 24
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.237 88.5 · 33.3% 393 30.0% 63.6% 23.7% 39
2 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 39 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 77 0.187 88.0 · 20.0% 364 16.7% 16.7% 12.8% 34
3 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 36 ⚪ D · · 99 0.183 90.8 · 23.5% 397 14.3% 18.2% 14.3% 26
4 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 24 ⚪ D · · 186 0.118 88.5 · 60.0% 413 10.3% 0.0% 9.7% 23
5 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 24 ⚪ D · · 191 0.145 87.5 · 8.3% 398 3.6% 0.0% 7.1% 31
6 Josh Bell Josh Bell 22 ⚪ D · · 202 0.138 89.0 · 12.5% 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% 36
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 232 0.119 86.3 · 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 22
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 14 ⚪ D · · 242 0.062 84.6 · 10.0% 367 3.3% 0.0% 5.3% 35
9 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 11 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 249 0.052 87.8 · 14.3% 423 3.6% 0.0% 6.9% 14
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