⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
MIN
@ 4:10p
TB
Tropicana Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.036
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Junior Caminero Junior Caminero 77 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 27 0.270 91.6 12.0% 40.0% 407 31.8% 45.5% 31.6% 45
2 Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda 64 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 55 0.247 92.3 12.1% 25.0% 396 19.0% 20.0% 27.5% 23
3 Jonny DeLuca Jonny DeLuca 40 ⚪ D · · 151 0.185 88.7 6.7% 22.2% 416 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 23
4 Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 201 0.143 89.6 4.8% 20.0% 368 7.7% 0.0% 8.6% 40
5 Cedric Mullins Cedric Mullins 32 ⚪ D · · 203 0.125 88.3 3.2% 9.1% 385 8.3% 11.1% 6.7% 30
6 Nick Fortes Nick Fortes 23 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 243 0.123 88.6 1.8% 12.5% 408 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 24
7 Ben Williamson Ben Williamson 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 258 0.061 86.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 18
8 Chandler Simpson Chandler Simpson 15 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 260 0.041 83.2 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.3% 48
9 Taylor Walls Taylor Walls 12 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 265 0.020 82.5 0.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 28
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 73 🟡 B · 🌤️ WARM 34 0.208 88.3 15.7% 19.2% 408 17.4% 40.0% 21.4% 35
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 67 🔵 C+ · · 48 0.216 92.0 14.9% 17.6% 394 15.0% 25.0% 21.3% 22
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 97 0.175 89.6 4.8% 25.0% 371 18.2% 30.0% 17.8% 38
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 41 ⚪ D · · 147 0.161 88.3 8.6% 14.3% 392 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 39
5 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 153 0.134 89.7 8.7% 33.3% 413 14.3% 0.0% 8.7% 18
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 38 ⚪ D · · 166 0.118 87.2 7.7% 12.5% 398 5.0% 12.5% 7.1% 23
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.135 85.8 4.8% 12.5% 406 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 19
8 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 27 ⚪ D · · 226 0.059 88.1 4.9% 9.1% 423 4.5% 11.1% 6.8% 25
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 23 ⚪ D · · 244 0.061 85.2 3.5% 4.2% 367 4.5% 0.0% 5.9% 38
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