MIN
@
6:45p
PIT
Park Factor
0.82×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
warm air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.145
Temp
75.2°F
Wind
10.4 mph
out
Roof
open
Taj Bradley
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 63 | 🔵 C+ | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 37 | 0.282 | 90.0 | 11.1% | 25.6% | 396 | 15.6% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 54 | 🟠 C | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 68 | 0.198 | 96.3 | 11.9% | 30.8% | 410 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.186 | 85.6 | 7.2% | 21.2% | 383 | 9.1% | 27.3% | 16.2% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Henry Davis | 44 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 132 | 0.158 | 90.5 | 9.5% | 28.6% | 397 | 8.3% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 20 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 36 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 169 | 0.161 | 90.3 | 8.0% | 19.4% | 392 | 13.3% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 4 |
| 6 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 178 | 0.110 | 89.8 | 8.8% | 12.0% | 408 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 182 | 0.134 | 90.7 | 8.4% | 11.1% | 412 | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 41 |
| 8 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 32 | ⚪ D | · | · | 196 | 0.131 | 87.4 | 8.7% | 18.8% | 393 | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Gonzales | 10 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 252 | 0.051 | 86.0 | 4.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 35 |