MIN
@
7:10p
NYM
Park Factor
0.86×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
0.950
Temp
45.2°F
Wind
15.9 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
Clay Holmes
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.197 | 89.8 | 14.9% | 19.1% | 420 | 15.0% | 30.0% | 19.2% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.176 | 92.7 | 15.6% | 13.3% | 403 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 98 | 0.132 | 88.0 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 398 | 5.9% | 14.3% | 8.7% | 16 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Bell ⚡ | 42 | ⚪ D | · | · | 115 | 0.177 | 89.6 | 11.4% | 16.7% | 392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Brooks Lee | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 128 | 0.147 | 88.2 | 5.1% | 21.4% | 367 | 15.8% | 30.0% | 14.4% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Matt Wallner ⚡ | 39 | ⚪ D | · | · | 136 | 0.146 | 89.4 | 8.8% | 33.3% | 413 | 15.8% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Martin | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 172 | 0.133 | 83.2 | 3.7% | 12.5% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 20 |
| 8 |
|
Victor Caratini ⚡ | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 217 | 0.065 | 88.9 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 423 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 29 |
| 9 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 224 | 0.067 | 84.9 | 3.4% | 4.5% | 367 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 40 |
Connor Prielipp
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Francisco Alvarez | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 69 | 0.217 | 89.6 | 22.2% | 33.3% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.2% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Francisco Lindor | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 100 | 0.132 | 89.1 | 8.6% | 10.5% | 402 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 6.0% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Jorge Polanco | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.107 | 87.3 | 4.4% | 10.0% | 346 | 5.0% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 15 |
| 4 |
|
Mark Vientos | 37 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 148 | 0.143 | 87.2 | 2.9% | 14.3% | 406 | 13.3% | 14.3% | 6.6% | 25 |
| 5 | Luis Robert Jr. | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 167 | 0.108 | 89.5 | 5.0% | 15.4% | 400 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 33 | |
| 6 |
|
Carson Benge | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 188 | 0.061 | 89.9 | 2.9% | 11.1% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 25 |
| 7 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 196 | 0.062 | 90.4 | 1.8% | 8.3% | 344 | 5.0% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Brett Baty | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 207 | 0.075 | 90.8 | 7.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 21 |
| 9 |
|
Marcus Semien | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 230 | 0.075 | 86.7 | 5.9% | 4.0% | 407 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 35 |