⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
MIN
@ 4:10p
BOS
Fenway Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.722
Temp
49.9°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 84 🟢 A · 🌤️ WARM 2 0.337 89.6 15.7% 20.0% 395 33.3% 37.5% 25.8% 21
2 Ryan Kreidler Ryan Kreidler 75 🟡 B · · 9 0.313 90.5 12.5% 7.1% 413 33.3% 33.3% 21.4% 12
3 Kody Clemens Kody Clemens 52 🟠 C · · 87 0.200 91.9 12.5% 25.0% 402 0.0% 0.0% 15.4% 35
4 Orlando Arcia Orlando Arcia 48 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 111 0.206 85.0 9.3% 50.0% 401 0.0% 0.0% 21.1% 1
5 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 45 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 134 0.086 88.8 8.2% 12.5% 415 4.8% 10.0% 8.8% 17
6 Josh Bell Josh Bell 44 ⚪ D · · 147 0.127 89.6 11.2% 6.7% 397 3.2% 10.0% 9.8% 28
7 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 41 ⚪ D · · 170 0.135 85.7 9.0% 9.4% 381 4.9% 11.1% 9.0% 19
8 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 193 0.148 87.0 7.3% 18.8% 364 11.4% 0.0% 9.1% 34
9 Austin Martin Austin Martin 25 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 256 0.078 85.8 4.8% 7.7% 392 3.7% 10.0% 6.9% 34
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 53 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 83 0.211 90.3 12.2% 31.6% 413 19.6% 16.7% 18.1% 30
2 Jarren Duran Jarren Duran 44 ⚪ D · · 148 0.156 90.0 10.3% 30.0% 387 10.9% 16.7% 13.2% 30
3 Wilyer Abreu Wilyer Abreu 41 ⚪ D · · 167 0.151 90.1 10.4% 13.6% 391 13.0% 0.0% 7.9% 39
4 Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela 40 ⚪ D · · 176 0.171 87.0 8.4% 19.1% 364 8.9% 8.3% 9.5% 26
5 Marcelo Mayer Marcelo Mayer 29 ⚪ D · · 243 0.089 86.9 8.4% 4.3% 382 3.1% 10.0% 5.9% 26
6 Mickey Gasper Mickey Gasper 24 ⚪ D · · 264 0.053 91.6 8.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 27
7 Connor Wong Connor Wong 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 265 0.113 88.0 4.7% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 5
8 Nick Sogard Nick Sogard 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 279 0.086 81.1 7.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 13
9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa Isiah Kiner-Falefa 13 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 285 0.017 82.3 5.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 6
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