MIN
@
4:10p
BOS
Park Factor
0.90×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.722
Temp
49.9°F
Wind
2.0 mph
in
Roof
open
Jovani Morán
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 84 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 2 | 0.337 | 89.6 | 15.7% | 20.0% | 395 | 33.3% | 37.5% | 25.8% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Ryan Kreidler | 75 | 🟡 B | · | · | 9 | 0.313 | 90.5 | 12.5% | 7.1% | 413 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 21.4% | 12 |
| 3 |
|
Kody Clemens | 52 | 🟠 C | · | · | 87 | 0.200 | 91.9 | 12.5% | 25.0% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 15.4% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Orlando Arcia | 48 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 111 | 0.206 | 85.0 | 9.3% | 50.0% | 401 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21.1% | 1 |
| 5 |
|
Victor Caratini | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 134 | 0.086 | 88.8 | 8.2% | 12.5% | 415 | 4.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Josh Bell | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 147 | 0.127 | 89.6 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 397 | 3.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 28 |
| 7 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 170 | 0.135 | 85.7 | 9.0% | 9.4% | 381 | 4.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 19 |
| 8 |
|
Brooks Lee | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.148 | 87.0 | 7.3% | 18.8% | 364 | 11.4% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 34 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 256 | 0.078 | 85.8 | 4.8% | 7.7% | 392 | 3.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 34 |
Taj Bradley
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Willson Contreras | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 83 | 0.211 | 90.3 | 12.2% | 31.6% | 413 | 19.6% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Jarren Duran | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 148 | 0.156 | 90.0 | 10.3% | 30.0% | 387 | 10.9% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 30 |
| 3 |
|
Wilyer Abreu | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 167 | 0.151 | 90.1 | 10.4% | 13.6% | 391 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 7.9% | 39 |
| 4 |
|
Ceddanne Rafaela | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 176 | 0.171 | 87.0 | 8.4% | 19.1% | 364 | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Marcelo Mayer | 29 | ⚪ D | · | · | 243 | 0.089 | 86.9 | 8.4% | 4.3% | 382 | 3.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Mickey Gasper | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 264 | 0.053 | 91.6 | 8.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Connor Wong | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 265 | 0.113 | 88.0 | 4.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 5 |
| 8 |
|
Nick Sogard | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 279 | 0.086 | 81.1 | 7.6% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 13 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 285 | 0.017 | 82.3 | 5.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 6 |