MIA
@
1:07p
TOR
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.020
Wind
0 mph
dome
Eury Pérez
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jesús Sánchez | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 51 | 0.174 | 90.9 | 10.1% | 25.0% | 400 | 12.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Kazuma Okamoto | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 60 | 0.182 | 92.9 | 14.3% | 29.0% | 411 | 11.4% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 23 |
| 3 | Yohendrick Piñango | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 76 | 0.097 | 89.9 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 348 | 22.2% | 25.0% | 9.8% | 34 | |
| 4 |
|
Ernie Clement | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.137 | 85.8 | 5.5% | 8.6% | 370 | 9.8% | 30.0% | 15.8% | 37 |
| 5 |
|
Daulton Varsho | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.148 | 86.4 | 9.5% | 14.3% | 387 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 145 | 0.104 | 90.4 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 412 | 5.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 34 |
| 7 |
|
Andrés Giménez | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 175 | 0.139 | 85.7 | 7.0% | 14.3% | 382 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 8.2% | 28 |
| 8 |
|
Tyler Heineman | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 183 | 0.043 | 83.4 | 5.1% | 9.1% | 391 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 12.2% | 9 |
| 9 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 20 | ⚪ D | · | · | 252 | 0.065 | 87.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 3 |
Kevin Gausman
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Owen Caissie | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 87 | 0.147 | 91.2 | 10.4% | 20.0% | 394 | 6.2% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 16 |
| 2 |
|
Kyle Stowers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 105 | 0.144 | 90.0 | 8.1% | 13.6% | 378 | 3.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 29 |
| 3 |
|
Liam Hicks | 43 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 131 | 0.205 | 87.0 | 6.7% | 27.0% | 378 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 45 |
| 4 |
|
Xavier Edwards | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 147 | 0.165 | 87.5 | 7.7% | 6.1% | 396 | 9.4% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 48 |
| 5 |
|
Connor Norby | 35 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 186 | 0.151 | 86.8 | 8.2% | 13.6% | 396 | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 29 |
| 6 |
|
Otto Lopez | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 209 | 0.137 | 90.6 | 8.3% | 10.3% | 396 | 5.7% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 49 |
| 7 |
|
Christopher Morel | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 214 | 0.051 | 88.4 | 5.1% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Jakob Marsee | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 224 | 0.101 | 87.4 | 6.2% | 6.7% | 374 | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Graham Pauley | 28 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 231 | 0.109 | 83.4 | 5.4% | 4.8% | 362 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 4 |