⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
MIA
@ 1:07p
TOR
Rogers Centre · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.020
Wind
0 mph
dome
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jesús Sánchez Jesús Sánchez 60 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 51 0.174 90.9 10.1% 25.0% 400 12.8% 8.3% 11.8% 26
2 Kazuma Okamoto Kazuma Okamoto 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 60 0.182 92.9 14.3% 29.0% 411 11.4% 0.0% 16.6% 23
3 Yohendrick Piñango 54 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 76 0.097 89.9 8.5% 18.2% 348 22.2% 25.0% 9.8% 34
4 Ernie Clement Ernie Clement 52 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 80 0.137 85.8 5.5% 8.6% 370 9.8% 30.0% 15.8% 37
5 Daulton Varsho Daulton Varsho 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.148 86.4 9.5% 14.3% 387 7.7% 9.1% 8.8% 34
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 145 0.104 90.4 10.0% 10.0% 412 5.9% 10.0% 9.4% 34
7 Andrés Giménez Andrés Giménez 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 175 0.139 85.7 7.0% 14.3% 382 2.6% 0.0% 8.2% 28
8 Tyler Heineman Tyler Heineman 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 183 0.043 83.4 5.1% 9.1% 391 14.3% 33.3% 12.2% 9
9 Nathan Lukes Nathan Lukes 20 ⚪ D · · 252 0.065 87.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.5% 3
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 87 0.147 91.2 10.4% 20.0% 394 6.2% 20.0% 14.9% 16
2 Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 105 0.144 90.0 8.1% 13.6% 378 3.4% 8.3% 11.1% 29
3 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 43 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 131 0.205 87.0 6.7% 27.0% 378 20.0% 8.3% 13.3% 45
4 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 40 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 147 0.165 87.5 7.7% 6.1% 396 9.4% 15.4% 8.1% 48
5 Connor Norby Connor Norby 35 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 186 0.151 86.8 8.2% 13.6% 396 8.0% 8.3% 10.5% 29
6 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 209 0.137 90.6 8.3% 10.3% 396 5.7% 0.0% 9.1% 49
7 Christopher Morel Christopher Morel 32 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 214 0.051 88.4 5.1% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 17
8 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 224 0.101 87.4 6.2% 6.7% 374 7.9% 8.3% 6.5% 35
9 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 28 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 231 0.109 83.4 5.4% 4.8% 362 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 4
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