⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 3 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 4 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 5 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 6 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 7 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 8 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 9 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 4 HRs · 11 James Wood 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
MIA
@ 7:40p
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.04×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
mild air · strong partial wind out · roof open
Combined
1.351
Temp
67.3°F
Wind
18.4 mph
slight_out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 59 🟠 C +255 🌤️ WARM 8 0.227 89.1 · 36.4% 392 33.3% 63.6% 40.5% 41
2 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 44 ⚪ D +500 · 46 0.174 91.3 · 23.8% 404 14.7% 18.2% 22.8% 27
3 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 36 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 86 0.179 87.9 · 18.8% 364 13.9% 0.0% 11.6% 36
4 Josh Bell Josh Bell 32 ⚪ D +425 🌤️ WARM 116 0.131 89.6 · 11.8% 392 0.0% 0.0% 7.6% 29
5 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 31 ⚪ D +400 🌧️ COOL 133 0.116 88.4 · 57.1% 415 11.4% 9.1% 16.9% 13
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 27 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 160 0.138 86.7 · 6.2% 398 2.9% 0.0% 7.5% 31
7 Austin Martin Austin Martin 24 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 186 0.115 85.7 · 0.0% 406 0.0% 0.0% 8.2% 34
8 Victor Caratini Victor Caratini 24 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 187 0.052 88.8 · 14.3% 423 2.9% 0.0% 7.9% 14
9 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 22 ⚪ D +950 · 203 0.060 84.3 · 9.1% 367 2.8% 0.0% 9.0% 31
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Liam Hicks Liam Hicks 54 🟠 C +500 · 17 0.261 88.0 · 32.0% 379 24.3% 25.0% 36.0% 27
2 Otto Lopez Otto Lopez 31 ⚪ D +625 🌧️ COOL 129 0.170 91.2 · 15.8% 396 7.7% 8.3% 9.4% 44
3 Jakob Marsee Jakob Marsee 31 ⚪ D +700 🌤️ WARM 130 0.085 88.3 · 4.8% 364 8.0% 8.3% 7.5% 20
4 Xavier Edwards Xavier Edwards 28 ⚪ D +750 🌧️ COOL 157 0.115 88.6 · 8.0% 398 7.7% 25.0% 12.6% 39
5 Agustín Ramírez Agustín Ramírez 27 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 165 0.125 89.2 · 12.5% 415 4.3% 0.0% 8.6% 7
6 Connor Norby Connor Norby 27 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 166 0.150 87.6 · 18.8% 390 8.1% 0.0% 8.7% 14
7 Owen Caissie Owen Caissie 24 ⚪ D +500 🌧️ COOL 185 0.138 91.0 · 14.3% 387 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 13
8 Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 216 0.134 83.3 · 5.3% 362 0.0% 0.0% 8.0% 13
9 Heriberto Hernández 15 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 232 0.031 90.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.7% 8
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