⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
LAD
@ 2:10p
HOU
Minute Maid Park · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.14×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
warm air · steady crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
1.257
Temp
79.5°F
Wind
9.2 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 63 🔵 C+ · 🌤️ WARM 5 0.280 91.2 · 40.0% 397 22.9% 33.3% 56.5% 34
2 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 56 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 11 0.381 94.2 · 22.6% 393 38.1% 25.0% 20.6% 39
3 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 41 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.208 87.4 · 14.3% 409 11.1% 11.1% 31.4% 26
4 Cam Smith Cam Smith 34 ⚪ D · · 119 0.138 88.9 · 18.8% 406 11.8% 9.1% 14.5% 23
5 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 33 ⚪ D · · 125 0.145 87.6 · 15.0% 374 5.7% 8.3% 14.5% 38
6 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 31 ⚪ D · · 142 0.129 89.2 · 0.0% 384 4.8% 8.3% 15.2% 28
7 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 30 ⚪ D · · 148 0.120 87.8 · 11.8% 380 6.2% 9.1% 12.4% 25
8 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 25 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 189 0.146 85.3 · 23.1% 378 6.1% 0.0% 15.9% 31
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 20 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 220 0.086 90.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Shohei Ohtani Shohei Ohtani 46 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.218 93.6 · 12.0% 400 9.1% 7.7% 17.5% 29
2 Max Muncy Max Muncy 46 ⚪ D · · 42 0.163 92.6 · 22.9% 409 19.0% 9.1% 15.2% 37
3 Teoscar Hernández Teoscar Hernández 42 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 64 0.163 90.8 · 27.3% 387 4.8% 0.0% 12.8% 30
4 Will Smith Will Smith 41 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 70 0.112 89.4 · 12.0% 406 9.4% 8.3% 8.3% 27
5 Kyle Tucker Kyle Tucker 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 75 0.130 89.1 · 11.5% 397 6.2% 7.7% 10.5% 42
6 Andy Pages Andy Pages 39 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 81 0.197 90.5 · 19.1% 392 12.1% 0.0% 14.0% 42
7 Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 36 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 104 0.155 92.5 · 6.9% 412 6.2% 0.0% 10.9% 44
8 Alex Freeland Alex Freeland 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 154 0.091 88.9 · 13.3% 388 5.3% 7.7% 10.8% 25
9 Hyeseong Kim Hyeseong Kim 26 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 180 0.093 85.9 · 10.0% 372 0.0% 0.0% 10.4% 33
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