KC
@
8:05p
TEX
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.127
Temp
89.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
retractable
Stephen Kolek
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Jake Burger | 53 | 🟠 C | +750 | 🌤️ WARM | 72 | 0.197 | 90.5 | 7.2% | 25.8% | 393 | 16.3% | 27.3% | 24.9% | 30 |
| 2 |
|
Joc Pederson | 48 | ⚪ D | +850 | 🌤️ WARM | 97 | 0.193 | 91.8 | 6.8% | 16.1% | 397 | 11.8% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 27 |
| 3 |
|
Brandon Nimmo | 44 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌤️ WARM | 133 | 0.163 | 91.6 | 7.7% | 17.1% | 407 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 38 |
| 4 |
|
Ezequiel Duran | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 150 | 0.176 | 91.0 | 6.0% | 15.8% | 370 | 13.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Evan Carter | 38 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 161 | 0.161 | 88.4 | 6.4% | 14.6% | 368 | 14.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Danny Jansen | 34 | ⚪ D | +850 | · | 183 | 0.139 | 88.2 | 5.7% | 13.3% | 398 | 6.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Josh Jung | 33 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 187 | 0.148 | 89.8 | 5.6% | 14.8% | 386 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Nicky Lopez | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 231 | 0.086 | 89.3 | 5.1% | 0.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5 |
| 9 |
|
Alejandro Osuna | 12 | ⚪ D | · | · | 250 | 0.026 | 88.3 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.8% | 33 |
MacKenzie Gore
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Salvador Perez | 51 | 🟠 C | +525 | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.182 | 88.9 | 9.0% | 23.5% | 395 | 17.3% | 25.0% | 18.3% | 36 |
| 2 | Bobby Witt Jr. | 49 | ⚪ D | +750 | · | 93 | 0.191 | 93.7 | 10.7% | 12.5% | 405 | 15.4% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 37 | |
| 3 |
|
Jac Caglianone | 43 | ⚪ D | +700 | · | 137 | 0.152 | 93.3 | 11.7% | 20.0% | 408 | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 25 |
| 4 |
|
Nick Loftin | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 218 | 0.121 | 85.8 | 7.2% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 7 |
| 5 |
|
Vinnie Pasquantino | 26 | ⚪ D | +750 | ❄ COLD | 222 | 0.123 | 88.5 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 398 | 10.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 32 |
| 6 |
|
Maikel Garcia | 25 | ⚪ D | +950 | 🌧️ COOL | 227 | 0.120 | 90.2 | 6.2% | 20.0% | 398 | 6.0% | 0.0% | 7.5% | 47 |
| 7 |
|
Starling Marte | 22 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 233 | 0.052 | 90.0 | 8.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 8 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Isbel | 21 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 236 | 0.119 | 87.6 | 5.9% | 9.7% | 390 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Lane Thomas | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 244 | 0.060 | 84.9 | 5.1% | 7.7% | 407 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 10 |