⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
KC
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.87×
Weather Mod
+3.0%
hot air · steady wind out · retractable roof
Combined
1.127
Temp
89.4°F
Wind
8.1 mph
out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Burger Jake Burger 53 🟠 C +750 🌤️ WARM 72 0.197 90.5 7.2% 25.8% 393 16.3% 27.3% 24.9% 30
2 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 48 ⚪ D +850 🌤️ WARM 97 0.193 91.8 6.8% 16.1% 397 11.8% 18.2% 15.8% 27
3 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 44 ⚪ D +950 🌤️ WARM 133 0.163 91.6 7.7% 17.1% 407 10.0% 16.7% 8.6% 38
4 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 40 ⚪ D · · 150 0.176 91.0 6.0% 15.8% 370 13.3% 8.3% 11.7% 35
5 Evan Carter Evan Carter 38 ⚪ D +850 · 161 0.161 88.4 6.4% 14.6% 368 14.3% 9.1% 7.7% 24
6 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 34 ⚪ D +850 · 183 0.139 88.2 5.7% 13.3% 398 6.5% 12.5% 10.0% 18
7 Josh Jung Josh Jung 33 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 187 0.148 89.8 5.6% 14.8% 386 12.2% 9.1% 9.7% 36
8 Nicky Lopez Nicky Lopez 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 231 0.086 89.3 5.1% 0.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 6.0% 5
9 Alejandro Osuna Alejandro Osuna 12 ⚪ D · · 250 0.026 88.3 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 4.8% 33
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Salvador Perez Salvador Perez 51 🟠 C +525 🌤️ WARM 80 0.182 88.9 9.0% 23.5% 395 17.3% 25.0% 18.3% 36
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 49 ⚪ D +750 · 93 0.191 93.7 10.7% 12.5% 405 15.4% 16.7% 10.8% 37
3 Jac Caglianone Jac Caglianone 43 ⚪ D +700 · 137 0.152 93.3 11.7% 20.0% 408 8.7% 9.1% 8.0% 25
4 Nick Loftin Nick Loftin 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 218 0.121 85.8 7.2% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 7
5 Vinnie Pasquantino Vinnie Pasquantino 26 ⚪ D +750 ❄ COLD 222 0.123 88.5 8.3% 0.0% 398 10.0% 0.0% 5.0% 32
6 Maikel Garcia Maikel Garcia 25 ⚪ D +950 🌧️ COOL 227 0.120 90.2 6.2% 20.0% 398 6.0% 0.0% 7.5% 47
7 Starling Marte Starling Marte 22 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 233 0.052 90.0 8.4% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 8
8 Kyle Isbel Kyle Isbel 21 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 236 0.119 87.6 5.9% 9.7% 390 6.5% 0.0% 6.0% 23
9 Lane Thomas Lane Thomas 17 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 244 0.060 84.9 5.1% 7.7% 407 7.7% 0.0% 6.3% 10
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