LongDong™ — HOU @ TEX

HOU

@ 8:05p

TEX

Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters

Park Factor

0.86×

Weather Mod

+1.0%

hot air · light partial wind out · retractable roof

Combined

0.945

Temp

82.5°F

Wind

4.6 mph

slight_out

Roof

retractable

Nathan Eovaldi RHP 💥 Meltdown

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Yordan Álvarez	76	🟡 B	·	🌤️ WARM	5	0.320	94.5	11.9%	25.0%	403	100.0%	100.0%	28.1%	31
2	Christian Walker	65	🔵 C+	·	·	11	0.279	90.5	9.7%	37.1%	394	24.5%	33.3%	29.5%	37
3	Cam Smith	38	⚪ D	·	·	63	0.121	87.8	10.0%	13.6%	416	9.8%	9.1%	7.3%	28
4	Yainer Diaz	38	⚪ D	·	🔥 HOT	65	0.115	87.8	5.0%	11.8%	380	4.8%	0.0%	11.9%	30
5	Carlos Correa	31	⚪ D	·	🌧️ COOL	83	0.137	89.2	8.7%	0.0%	384	3.2%	0.0%	6.4%	29
6	José Altuve	30	⚪ D	·	🌤️ WARM	85	0.130	86.3	6.8%	20.0%	373	0.0%	0.0%	9.9%	6
7	Isaac Paredes	28	⚪ D	+900	🌧️ COOL	87	0.123	86.9	5.8%	14.3%	372	5.8%	9.1%	8.5%	35
8	Brice Matthews	27	⚪ D	+800	❄ COLD	90	0.130	88.6	7.4%	12.5%	398	7.7%	0.0%	7.1%	29
9	Christian Vázquez	26	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	92	0.153	86.8	4.1%	18.8%	373	7.1%	11.1%	9.1%	25

Spencer Arrighetti RHP

9 batters

#	Batter	Score	Tier	Odds	Form	Rank	ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg.	EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg.	Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg.	HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg.	HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg.	Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor.	14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form.	Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number.	BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1	Jake Burger	52	🟠 C	+500	🌤️ WARM	27	0.201	90.4	7.8%	25.8%	393	16.7%	30.0%	17.8%	28
2	Brandon Nimmo	44	⚪ D	+700	🌤️ WARM	42	0.166	91.6	8.3%	17.1%	407	10.2%	18.2%	7.9%	35
3	Joc Pederson	43	⚪ D	+700	🌤️ WARM	44	0.153	91.9	7.3%	16.1%	397	12.1%	20.0%	10.5%	24
4	Ezequiel Duran	42	⚪ D	+950	🌤️ WARM	48	0.179	90.9	6.5%	15.8%	370	14.3%	9.1%	8.3%	32
5	Kyle Higashioka	38	⚪ D	+800	🌧️ COOL	61	0.145	88.2	7.8%	21.4%	392	11.8%	33.3%	12.2%	15
6	Evan Carter	38	⚪ D	+850	·	64	0.164	88.5	6.9%	14.6%	368	14.7%	10.0%	6.5%	22
7	Josh Jung	26	⚪ D	+900	❄ COLD	94	0.151	89.8	5.7%	14.8%	378	10.4%	0.0%	6.9%	34
8	Nicky Lopez	21	⚪ D	·	❄ COLD	101	0.086	89.3	5.4%	0.0%	394	0.0%	0.0%	5.0%	3
9	Alejandro Osuna	11	⚪ D	·	·	108	0.028	88.4	·	0.0%	·	0.0%	0.0%	4.0%	31