⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
HOU
@ 8:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.80×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
hot air · strong crosswind · retractable roof
Combined
0.955
Temp
85.9°F
Wind
16.1 mph
cross
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 70 🟡 B +430 · 14 0.284 90.9 13.2% 37.5% 394 25.5% 41.7% 26.5% 36
2 Yordan Álvarez Yordan Álvarez 56 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 58 0.298 94.0 14.9% 21.9% 395 0.0% 0.0% 22.2% 29
3 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 153 0.137 89.2 11.6% 0.0% 384 3.4% 0.0% 5.2% 27
4 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 38 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 164 0.115 87.8 6.7% 11.8% 380 5.0% 0.0% 10.1% 38
5 José Altuve José Altuve 35 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 182 0.130 86.3 9.0% 20.0% 373 0.0% 0.0% 11.9% 12
6 Cam Smith Cam Smith 34 ⚪ D +800 🌧️ COOL 186 0.107 87.8 13.1% 13.6% 406 8.2% 0.0% 6.5% 25
7 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 33 ⚪ D +900 · 194 0.126 87.4 7.9% 14.7% 372 6.0% 9.1% 7.2% 37
8 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 30 ⚪ D +850 ❄ COLD 206 0.132 88.5 10.2% 13.3% 398 8.3% 0.0% 6.5% 32
9 Christian Vázquez Christian Vázquez 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 215 0.153 87.0 5.5% 21.4% 373 8.3% 14.3% 8.4% 29
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Jake Burger Jake Burger 60 🔵 C+ +600 🌤️ WARM 47 0.205 90.6 8.6% 25.8% 393 17.4% 40.0% 25.2% 29
2 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 50 🟠 C +625 🌤️ WARM 74 0.169 91.9 9.2% 18.2% 407 10.6% 18.2% 10.3% 34
3 Kyle Higashioka Kyle Higashioka 45 ⚪ D +650 🌧️ COOL 99 0.148 88.6 8.9% 21.4% 392 12.5% 50.0% 17.3% 15
4 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 45 ⚪ D +850 · 105 0.177 91.3 6.9% 17.6% 370 16.7% 11.1% 14.4% 33
5 Justin Foscue Justin Foscue 41 ⚪ D +950 · 140 0.167 93.0 9.4% 14.3% 392 0.0% 0.0% 10.6% 25
6 Josh Jung Josh Jung 37 ⚪ D +900 · 174 0.153 90.0 6.5% 14.8% 378 10.9% 0.0% 9.8% 34
7 Evan Carter Evan Carter 37 ⚪ D +575 · 175 0.138 88.4 7.9% 12.8% 371 12.5% 0.0% 6.6% 24
8 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 33 ⚪ D +575 🌧️ COOL 191 0.134 91.4 7.0% 13.3% 385 6.5% 10.0% 6.4% 23
9 Alejandro Osuna Alejandro Osuna 14 ⚪ D +950 · 254 0.029 88.2 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.0% 28
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