⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
HOU
@ 7:05p
TEX
Globe Life Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.77×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
hot air · steady partial wind out · retractable roof
Combined
0.850
Temp
83.6°F
Wind
9.2 mph
slight_out
Roof
retractable
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 63 🔵 C+ · · 33 0.266 91.0 9.8% 37.5% 393 24.0% 33.3% 27.4% 34
2 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 58 🟠 C +675 ❄ COLD 47 0.287 93.9 11.2% 21.9% 393 28.6% 18.2% 18.1% 27
3 Zach Dezenzo Zach Dezenzo 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 126 0.167 84.9 11.1% 20.0% 359 0.0% 0.0% 9.3% 18
4 Jake Meyers Jake Meyers 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 145 0.111 86.1 9.5% 20.0% 391 12.5% 50.0% 12.3% 11
5 Cam Smith Cam Smith 33 ⚪ D · · 174 0.105 88.2 10.0% 13.6% 406 8.3% 0.0% 6.7% 23
6 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 31 ⚪ D +750 · 182 0.131 87.7 6.0% 14.7% 372 6.1% 9.1% 7.4% 37
7 Christian Vázquez Christian Vázquez 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 192 0.165 87.3 4.2% 21.4% 373 9.1% 16.7% 9.3% 28
8 Nick Allen Nick Allen 16 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 226 0.025 87.3 · 0.0% 367 5.9% 50.0% 6.6% 5
9 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 10 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 231 0.064 84.7 3.6% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.3% 18
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Brandon Nimmo Brandon Nimmo 55 🟠 C +950 🌤️ WARM 59 0.173 91.9 11.4% 18.2% 407 10.9% 18.2% 12.9% 36
2 Ezequiel Duran Ezequiel Duran 50 🟠 C · · 78 0.183 91.3 8.6% 17.6% 370 18.2% 12.5% 13.2% 34
3 Justin Foscue Justin Foscue 48 ⚪ D · · 83 0.191 92.6 12.2% 14.3% 392 0.0% 0.0% 11.1% 22
4 Evan Carter Evan Carter 42 ⚪ D · · 118 0.139 88.4 9.8% 12.8% 371 12.9% 0.0% 8.6% 24
5 Michael Helman Michael Helman 42 ⚪ D +900 ❄ COLD 119 0.172 91.0 9.7% 8.6% 402 0.0% 0.0% 9.2% 8
6 Danny Jansen Danny Jansen 41 ⚪ D · · 127 0.152 88.5 7.8% 14.3% 398 6.9% 11.1% 11.1% 16
7 Joc Pederson Joc Pederson 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 146 0.138 91.8 8.8% 13.3% 385 6.7% 10.0% 8.6% 21
8 Andrew McCutchen Andrew McCutchen 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 209 0.069 87.2 8.2% 3.8% 347 6.7% 0.0% 6.4% 14
9 Alejandro Osuna Alejandro Osuna 16 ⚪ D · · 227 0.031 89.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 28
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