HOU
@
7:40p
MIN
Park Factor
0.99×
Weather Mod
+2.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.190
Temp
50.6°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Jason Alexander
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Byron Buxton | 92 | 🔥 A+ | +950 | 🔥 HOT | 1 | 0.320 | 89.5 | 21.1% | 40.0% | 393 | 33.3% | 44.4% | 34.6% | 25 |
| 2 |
|
Kody Clemens | 51 | 🟠 C | +850 | · | 65 | 0.192 | 92.3 | 14.8% | 14.3% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.6% | 28 |
| 3 |
|
Tristan Gray | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 94 | 0.152 | 89.5 | 10.6% | 22.2% | 390 | 16.7% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 10 |
| 4 |
|
Josh Bell | 41 | ⚪ D | +1000 | 🌤️ WARM | 120 | 0.111 | 89.6 | 10.5% | 10.0% | 397 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Brooks Lee | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 190 | 0.144 | 86.9 | 4.5% | 15.8% | 364 | 11.9% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 47 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 206 | 0.113 | 86.1 | 7.3% | 11.8% | 381 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Victor Caratini | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 219 | 0.039 | 88.8 | 4.7% | 10.0% | 423 | 2.6% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 15 |
| 8 |
|
James Outman | 20 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 230 | 0.055 | 85.0 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 10 |
| 9 |
|
Austin Martin | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 236 | 0.096 | 86.2 | 2.0% | 0.0% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 41 |