HOU
@
6:10p
CLE
Park Factor
1.08×
Weather Mod
-6.0%
cold air · strong wind in · roof open
Combined
0.432
Temp
41.1°F
Wind
14.6 mph
in
Roof
open
Parker Messick
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 89 | 🟢 A | · | · | 4 | 0.430 | 93.0 | 19.2% | 28.6% | 392 | 62.5% | 71.4% | 32.9% | 48 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 29 | 0.262 | 90.5 | 15.1% | 29.4% | 393 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 31.1% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 59 | 🟠 C | · | · | 46 | 0.175 | 90.7 | 17.0% | 16.7% | 403 | 13.6% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Jose Altuve | 44 | ⚪ D | · | · | 94 | 0.168 | 84.7 | 7.7% | 25.0% | 376 | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 40 |
| 5 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 144 | 0.075 | 86.8 | 2.3% | 9.1% | 372 | 5.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Carlos Correa | 34 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 151 | 0.100 | 91.2 | 10.0% | 10.0% | 402 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 30 |
| 7 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 162 | 0.086 | 90.5 | 2.9% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 18 |
| 8 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 30 | ⚪ D | · | · | 169 | 0.147 | 88.5 | 0.0% | 11.1% | · | 4.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 36 |
| 9 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 184 | 0.093 | 86.1 | 2.7% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.5% | 14 |
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
José Ramírez | 82 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 8 | 0.264 | 90.2 | 11.9% | 18.8% | 392 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 35.8% | 38 |
| 2 |
|
Chase DeLauter ⚡ | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌧️ COOL | 19 | 0.274 | 93.0 | 17.8% | 27.8% | 381 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 23.1% | 36 |
| 3 |
|
Daniel Schneemann | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 37 | 0.226 | 91.6 | 10.3% | 18.2% | 424 | 9.5% | 20.0% | 31.3% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Rhys Hoskins | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 53 | 0.143 | 89.0 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 411 | 5.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 26 |
| 5 |
|
Bo Naylor | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 54 | 0.081 | 91.2 | 14.8% | 7.7% | · | 9.5% | 20.0% | 11.2% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Kyle Manzardo | 48 | ⚪ D | · | · | 80 | 0.060 | 91.0 | 13.3% | 12.5% | 454 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Angel Martínez ⚡ | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 81 | 0.153 | 89.7 | 6.5% | 15.4% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Brayan Rocchio | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 87 | 0.171 | 88.2 | 4.3% | 25.0% | 390 | 10.5% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Steven Kwan | 25 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 193 | 0.066 | 81.6 | 1.7% | 5.6% | 381 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 8.9% | 45 |