HOU
@
2:20p
CHC
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.920
Temp
58.8°F
Wind
3.4 mph
in
Roof
open
Shota Imanaga
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Christian Walker | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 41 | 0.238 | 91.1 | 11.2% | 20.0% | 391 | 22.4% | 25.0% | 23.7% | 32 |
| 2 |
|
Zach Dezenzo | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 141 | 0.171 | 84.9 | 12.8% | 15.4% | 359 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5% | 19 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 161 | 0.107 | 88.2 | 11.6% | 10.0% | 406 | 8.5% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Christian Vázquez | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 172 | 0.165 | 87.6 | 5.1% | 16.7% | 373 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 9.3% | 24 |
| 5 |
|
Brice Matthews | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 177 | 0.144 | 88.8 | 9.1% | 33.3% | 398 | 8.7% | 0.0% | 9.8% | 31 |
| 6 |
|
Jake Meyers | 38 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 178 | 0.111 | 86.0 | 10.3% | 0.0% | 393 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 7 |
| 7 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 188 | 0.128 | 87.7 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 372 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 36 |
| 8 |
|
Jeremy Peña | 19 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 273 | 0.068 | 85.0 | 4.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 17 |
| 9 |
|
Nick Allen | 12 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 284 | 0.025 | 87.9 | · | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0% | 4 |
Peter Lambert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Michael Conforto | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | ❄ COLD | 48 | 0.314 | 95.1 | 8.5% | 18.8% | 409 | 5.9% | 50.0% | 19.0% | 13 |
| 2 |
|
Moisés Ballesteros | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 88 | 0.211 | 90.9 | 8.1% | 24.0% | 390 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 11 |
| 3 |
|
Michael Busch | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 111 | 0.148 | 88.2 | 8.2% | 10.8% | 401 | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 26 |
| 4 |
|
Seiya Suzuki | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 168 | 0.181 | 88.6 | 6.2% | 28.6% | 414 | 9.4% | 0.0% | 14.2% | 29 |
| 5 |
|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.141 | 90.8 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 386 | 12.0% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 26 |
| 6 |
|
Pedro Ramírez | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 173 | 0.202 | 90.2 | 6.7% | 11.1% | 396 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 42 |
| 7 |
|
Alex Bregman | 37 | ⚪ D | · | · | 183 | 0.147 | 89.0 | 5.7% | 20.7% | 390 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 37 |
| 8 |
|
Carson Kelly | 29 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 237 | 0.103 | 89.8 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 414 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 6.8% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Nico Hoerner | 23 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 263 | 0.123 | 85.4 | 2.9% | 6.1% | 383 | 7.8% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 42 |