⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
HOU
@ 2:20p
CHC
Wrigley Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.02×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind in · roof open
Combined
0.920
Temp
58.8°F
Wind
3.4 mph
in
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Christian Walker Christian Walker 62 🔵 C+ · 🌧️ COOL 41 0.238 91.1 11.2% 20.0% 391 22.4% 25.0% 23.7% 32
2 Zach Dezenzo Zach Dezenzo 43 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 141 0.171 84.9 12.8% 15.4% 359 0.0% 0.0% 9.5% 19
3 Cam Smith Cam Smith 40 ⚪ D · · 161 0.107 88.2 11.6% 10.0% 406 8.5% 0.0% 6.8% 22
4 Christian Vázquez Christian Vázquez 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 172 0.165 87.6 5.1% 16.7% 373 10.0% 20.0% 9.3% 24
5 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 177 0.144 88.8 9.1% 33.3% 398 8.7% 0.0% 9.8% 31
6 Jake Meyers Jake Meyers 38 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 178 0.111 86.0 10.3% 0.0% 393 6.7% 0.0% 7.0% 7
7 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 37 ⚪ D · · 188 0.128 87.7 7.1% 0.0% 372 6.2% 9.1% 6.3% 36
8 Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña 19 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 273 0.068 85.0 4.3% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.6% 17
9 Nick Allen Nick Allen 12 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 284 0.025 87.9 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 4
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Michael Conforto Michael Conforto 60 🔵 C+ · ❄ COLD 48 0.314 95.1 8.5% 18.8% 409 5.9% 50.0% 19.0% 13
2 Moisés Ballesteros Moisés Ballesteros 50 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 88 0.211 90.9 8.1% 24.0% 390 7.1% 0.0% 11.2% 11
3 Michael Busch Michael Busch 47 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 111 0.148 88.2 8.2% 10.8% 401 7.8% 8.3% 6.6% 26
4 Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 168 0.181 88.6 6.2% 28.6% 414 9.4% 0.0% 14.2% 29
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 169 0.141 90.8 6.7% 14.3% 386 12.0% 16.7% 10.3% 26
6 Pedro Ramírez Pedro Ramírez 38 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 173 0.202 90.2 6.7% 11.1% 396 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 42
7 Alex Bregman Alex Bregman 37 ⚪ D · · 183 0.147 89.0 5.7% 20.7% 390 6.1% 8.3% 10.6% 37
8 Carson Kelly Carson Kelly 29 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 237 0.103 89.8 6.7% 0.0% 414 4.3% 0.0% 6.8% 18
9 Nico Hoerner Nico Hoerner 23 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 263 0.123 85.4 2.9% 6.1% 383 7.8% 0.0% 7.7% 42
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