HOU
@
6:35p
BAL
Park Factor
1.35×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.211
Temp
55.4°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
Chris Bassitt
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Yordan Alvarez | 100 | 🥇 S | · | · | 1 | 0.381 | 94.2 | 20.5% | 21.4% | 390 | 42.9% | 41.7% | 42.4% | 48 |
| 2 |
|
Christian Walker | 82 | 🟢 A | · | · | 12 | 0.280 | 89.7 | 11.7% | 35.3% | 393 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 47.6% | 33 |
| 3 |
|
Cam Smith | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 62 | 0.138 | 89.2 | 14.9% | 14.3% | 403 | 10.7% | 0.0% | 12.0% | 23 |
| 4 |
|
Brice Matthews | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 72 | 0.208 | 88.1 | 9.1% | 40.0% | 434 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24.4% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Isaac Paredes | 55 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 74 | 0.145 | 88.5 | 3.3% | 18.8% | 379 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 22.9% | 36 |
| 6 |
|
Yainer Diaz | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 93 | 0.120 | 87.7 | 4.5% | 15.4% | 380 | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 27 |
| 7 |
|
Jose Altuve | 51 | 🟠 C | · | · | 94 | 0.146 | 85.8 | 7.5% | 25.0% | 378 | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 33 |
| 8 |
|
Carlos Correa | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 102 | 0.129 | 88.5 | 8.1% | 0.0% | 402 | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Joey Loperfido | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 167 | 0.086 | 90.0 | 5.0% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 6 |
Peter Lambert
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Gunnar Henderson | 76 | 🟡 B | · | · | 22 | 0.279 | 90.8 | 12.0% | 28.6% | 388 | 32.0% | 25.0% | 37.8% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Samuel Basallo | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 33 | 0.221 | 92.2 | 11.8% | 33.3% | 415 | 23.1% | 20.0% | 32.7% | 25 |
| 3 |
|
Coby Mayo | 62 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🔥 HOT | 50 | 0.166 | 87.5 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 429 | 13.0% | 27.3% | 22.4% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Pete Alonso | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 66 | 0.162 | 94.3 | 7.2% | 22.2% | 403 | 11.1% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 36 |
| 5 |
|
Jeremiah Jackson | 56 | 🟠 C | · | · | 70 | 0.185 | 88.6 | 9.4% | 33.3% | 399 | 13.3% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 33 |
| 6 |
|
Taylor Ward | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 114 | 0.142 | 90.6 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 394 | 3.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 41 |
| 7 |
|
Dylan Beavers | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 115 | 0.125 | 87.5 | 5.8% | 20.0% | 406 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 23 |
| 8 |
|
Leody Taveras | 40 | ⚪ D | · | · | 155 | 0.143 | 87.5 | 7.0% | 21.4% | 409 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.8% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Blaze Alexander | 18 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 248 | 0.018 | 92.0 | 2.8% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0% | 13 |