⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
HOU
@ 6:35p
BAL
Camden Yards · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
1.35×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light crosswind · roof open
Combined
1.211
Temp
55.4°F
Wind
5.8 mph
cross
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez 100 🥇 S · · 1 0.381 94.2 20.5% 21.4% 390 42.9% 41.7% 42.4% 48
2 Christian Walker Christian Walker 82 🟢 A · · 12 0.280 89.7 11.7% 35.3% 393 21.4% 25.0% 47.6% 33
3 Cam Smith Cam Smith 58 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 62 0.138 89.2 14.9% 14.3% 403 10.7% 0.0% 12.0% 23
4 Brice Matthews Brice Matthews 55 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 72 0.208 88.1 9.1% 40.0% 434 0.0% 0.0% 24.4% 17
5 Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes 55 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 74 0.145 88.5 3.3% 18.8% 379 7.1% 16.7% 22.9% 36
6 Yainer Diaz Yainer Diaz 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 93 0.120 87.7 4.5% 15.4% 380 8.0% 9.1% 11.5% 27
7 Jose Altuve Jose Altuve 51 🟠 C · · 94 0.146 85.8 7.5% 25.0% 378 7.7% 10.0% 14.3% 33
8 Carlos Correa Carlos Correa 50 🟠 C · · 102 0.129 88.5 8.1% 0.0% 402 7.1% 8.3% 9.3% 32
9 Joey Loperfido Joey Loperfido 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 167 0.086 90.0 5.0% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 12.7% 6
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Gunnar Henderson Gunnar Henderson 76 🟡 B · · 22 0.279 90.8 12.0% 28.6% 388 32.0% 25.0% 37.8% 33
2 Samuel Basallo Samuel Basallo 68 🔵 C+ · · 33 0.221 92.2 11.8% 33.3% 415 23.1% 20.0% 32.7% 25
3 Coby Mayo Coby Mayo 62 🔵 C+ · 🔥 HOT 50 0.166 87.5 6.7% 14.3% 429 13.0% 27.3% 22.4% 24
4 Pete Alonso Pete Alonso 57 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 66 0.162 94.3 7.2% 22.2% 403 11.1% 16.7% 16.7% 36
5 Jeremiah Jackson Jeremiah Jackson 56 🟠 C · · 70 0.185 88.6 9.4% 33.3% 399 13.3% 16.7% 22.6% 33
6 Taylor Ward Taylor Ward 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 114 0.142 90.6 5.9% 0.0% 394 3.6% 8.3% 7.8% 41
7 Dylan Beavers Dylan Beavers 47 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 115 0.125 87.5 5.8% 20.0% 406 8.3% 11.1% 10.4% 23
8 Leody Taveras Leody Taveras 40 ⚪ D · · 155 0.143 87.5 7.0% 21.4% 409 0.0% 0.0% 16.8% 28
9 Blaze Alexander Blaze Alexander 18 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 248 0.018 92.0 2.8% 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 9.0% 13
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