DET
@
—
MIN
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.045
Temp
35.6°F
Wind
10.2 mph
out
Roof
open
Jack Flaherty
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Wallner | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 6 | 0.262 | 91.0 | 11.9% | 19.6% | 406 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 28.6% | 24 |
| 2 |
|
Byron Buxton | 55 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 21 | 0.287 | 92.5 | 13.5% | 21.3% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.7% | 32 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 24 | 0.152 | 89.8 | 9.5% | 9.6% | 402 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 21 |
| 4 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 41 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 57 | 0.131 | 89.3 | 8.1% | 7.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 64 | 0.104 | 89.2 | 11.2% | 10.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.6% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 67 | 0.153 | 90.9 | 8.6% | 12.0% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 15 |
| 7 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 72 | 0.143 | 86.2 | 7.3% | 7.7% | 399 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 42 |
| 8 |
|
Brooks Lee | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 75 | 0.133 | 88.6 | 7.7% | 10.3% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 23 |
| 9 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 24 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 77 | 0.084 | 85.9 | 6.3% | 4.1% | 386 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 18 |
Mick Abel
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 8 | 0.245 | 91.4 | 10.3% | 17.3% | 391 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 30.5% | 19 |
| 2 |
|
Riley Greene | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 22 | 0.235 | 89.9 | 12.1% | 22.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 35 |
| 3 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 29 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 8.8% | 11.1% | 389 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 24 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 49 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 33 | 0.217 | 90.2 | 10.7% | 15.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.9% | 22 |
| 5 |
|
Zach McKinstry | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 38 | 0.179 | 85.7 | 7.2% | 10.3% | 376 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Wenceel Perez | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 43 | 0.186 | 90.3 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.7% | 0 |
| 7 |
|
Colt Keith | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 45 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 8.8% | 10.7% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 27 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 58 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 8.3% | 9.0% | 400 | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Baez | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 73 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 6.8% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.1% | 21 |