⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
DET
@
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.045
Temp
35.6°F
Wind
10.2 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 68 🔵 C+ · · 6 0.262 91.0 11.9% 19.6% 406 27.3% 27.3% 28.6% 24
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 55 🟠 C · ❄ COLD 21 0.287 92.5 13.5% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 17.7% 32
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 54 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 24 0.152 89.8 9.5% 9.6% 402 18.2% 18.2% 12.4% 21
4 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 41 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 57 0.131 89.3 8.1% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 5.4% 22
5 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 36 ⚪ D · · 64 0.104 89.2 11.2% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 16
6 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 35 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 67 0.153 90.9 8.6% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 15
7 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 72 0.143 86.2 7.3% 7.7% 399 9.1% 9.1% 6.2% 42
8 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 75 0.133 88.6 7.7% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 6.7% 23
9 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 24 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 77 0.084 85.9 6.3% 4.1% 386 11.1% 11.1% 4.7% 18
Mick Abel
Mick Abel RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 65 🔵 C+ · · 8 0.245 91.4 10.3% 17.3% 391 18.2% 18.2% 30.5% 19
2 Riley Greene Riley Greene 54 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 22 0.235 89.9 12.1% 22.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 35
3 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 52 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 29 0.147 90.0 8.8% 11.1% 389 9.1% 9.1% 14.6% 24
4 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 49 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 33 0.217 90.2 10.7% 15.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 14.9% 22
5 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 48 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 38 0.179 85.7 7.2% 10.3% 376 9.1% 9.1% 10.3% 20
6 Wenceel Perez Wenceel Perez 45 ⚪ D · · 43 0.186 90.3 8.6% 11.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 13.7% 0
7 Colt Keith Colt Keith 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 45 0.157 90.0 8.8% 10.7% 390 0.0% 0.0% 9.1% 27
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 58 0.132 90.0 8.3% 9.0% 400 9.1% 9.1% 7.0% 33
9 Javier Baez Javier Baez 31 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 73 0.141 88.2 6.8% 10.4% 391 0.0% 0.0% 8.1% 21
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