⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
DET
@
MIN
Target Field · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.045
Temp
32.8°F
Wind
12.2 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Matt Wallner Matt Wallner 68 🔵 C+ · · 6 0.262 91.0 11.2% 19.6% 406 37.5% 37.5% 26.8% 20
2 Byron Buxton Byron Buxton 57 🟠 C · 🌧️ COOL 29 0.287 92.5 12.7% 21.3% 406 0.0% 0.0% 16.6% 23
3 Royce Lewis Royce Lewis 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 53 0.152 89.8 8.9% 9.6% 402 25.0% 25.0% 11.7% 22
4 Trevor Larnach Trevor Larnach 45 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 86 0.153 90.9 8.1% 12.0% 405 0.0% 0.0% 11.2% 14
5 Ryan Jeffers Ryan Jeffers 40 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 125 0.131 89.3 7.6% 7.0% 411 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 20
6 Edouard Julien Edouard Julien 38 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 135 0.104 89.2 10.5% 10.3% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 10
7 Brooks Lee Brooks Lee 36 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 147 0.133 88.6 7.3% 10.3% 383 0.0% 0.0% 7.4% 17
8 Luke Keaschall Luke Keaschall 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 169 0.143 86.2 6.9% 7.7% 399 0.0% 0.0% 5.8% 35
9 Christian Vazquez Christian Vazquez 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 189 0.084 85.9 5.9% 4.1% 386 16.7% 16.7% 5.6% 14
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan RHP
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Kerry Carpenter Kerry Carpenter 65 🔵 C+ · · 11 0.245 91.4 12.0% 17.3% 391 25.0% 25.0% 26.0% 22
2 Dillon Dingler Dillon Dingler 51 🟠 C · 🔥 HOT 51 0.147 90.0 10.3% 11.1% 389 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 22
3 Riley Greene Riley Greene 49 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 58 0.235 89.9 14.0% 22.9% 397 0.0% 0.0% 17.0% 33
4 Spencer Torkelson Spencer Torkelson 47 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 71 0.217 90.2 12.5% 15.0% 394 0.0% 0.0% 12.7% 21
5 Colt Keith Colt Keith 46 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 81 0.157 90.0 10.3% 10.7% 390 0.0% 0.0% 7.8% 24
6 Zach McKinstry Zach McKinstry 45 ⚪ D · · 87 0.179 85.7 8.4% 10.3% 376 12.5% 12.5% 11.0% 16
7 Wenceel Perez Wenceel Perez 43 ⚪ D · 🔥 HOT 105 0.186 90.3 10.1% 11.0% 385 0.0% 0.0% 11.7% 3
8 Gleyber Torres Gleyber Torres 39 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 129 0.132 90.0 9.7% 9.0% 400 12.5% 12.5% 6.0% 28
9 Javier Baez Javier Baez 28 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 179 0.141 88.2 8.0% 10.4% 391 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 16
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