DET
@
—
MIN
Park Factor
0.95×
Weather Mod
+1.0%
cold air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.045
Temp
32.8°F
Wind
12.2 mph
out
Roof
open
Casey Mize
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Wallner | 68 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 6 | 0.262 | 91.0 | 11.2% | 19.6% | 406 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 26.8% | 20 |
| 2 |
|
Byron Buxton | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.287 | 92.5 | 12.7% | 21.3% | 406 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16.6% | 23 |
| 3 |
|
Royce Lewis | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 53 | 0.152 | 89.8 | 8.9% | 9.6% | 402 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 11.7% | 22 |
| 4 |
|
Trevor Larnach | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 86 | 0.153 | 90.9 | 8.1% | 12.0% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.2% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Ryan Jeffers | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 125 | 0.131 | 89.3 | 7.6% | 7.0% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 20 |
| 6 |
|
Edouard Julien | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 135 | 0.104 | 89.2 | 10.5% | 10.3% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 10 |
| 7 |
|
Brooks Lee | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 147 | 0.133 | 88.6 | 7.3% | 10.3% | 383 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 17 |
| 8 |
|
Luke Keaschall | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 169 | 0.143 | 86.2 | 6.9% | 7.7% | 399 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.8% | 35 |
| 9 |
|
Christian Vazquez | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 189 | 0.084 | 85.9 | 5.9% | 4.1% | 386 | 16.7% | 16.7% | 5.6% | 14 |
Joe Ryan
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kerry Carpenter | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 11 | 0.245 | 91.4 | 12.0% | 17.3% | 391 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% | 22 |
| 2 |
|
Dillon Dingler | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 51 | 0.147 | 90.0 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 389 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 22 |
| 3 |
|
Riley Greene | 49 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 58 | 0.235 | 89.9 | 14.0% | 22.9% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17.0% | 33 |
| 4 |
|
Spencer Torkelson | 47 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 71 | 0.217 | 90.2 | 12.5% | 15.0% | 394 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 21 |
| 5 |
|
Colt Keith | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 81 | 0.157 | 90.0 | 10.3% | 10.7% | 390 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Zach McKinstry | 45 | ⚪ D | · | · | 87 | 0.179 | 85.7 | 8.4% | 10.3% | 376 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 16 |
| 7 |
|
Wenceel Perez | 43 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 105 | 0.186 | 90.3 | 10.1% | 11.0% | 385 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.7% | 3 |
| 8 |
|
Gleyber Torres | 39 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 129 | 0.132 | 90.0 | 9.7% | 9.0% | 400 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 28 |
| 9 |
|
Javier Baez | 28 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 179 | 0.141 | 88.2 | 8.0% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.9% | 16 |