DET
@
7:15p
ATL
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.540
Temp
62.2°F
Wind
13.8 mph
out
Roof
open
Tarik Skubal
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Matt Olson | 84 | 🟢 A | · | · | 10 | 0.316 | 92.1 | 17.7% | 14.3% | 416 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 22.2% | 39 |
| 2 | Michael Harris II | 81 | 🟢 A | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.226 | 95.4 | 19.7% | 16.7% | 391 | 18.5% | 27.3% | 21.1% | 36 | |
| 3 |
|
Drake Baldwin | 67 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 37 | 0.203 | 90.5 | 15.9% | 31.8% | 400 | 25.0% | 16.7% | 15.5% | 36 |
| 4 |
|
Ronald Acuña Jr. | 53 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 80 | 0.133 | 88.6 | 13.4% | 0.0% | 411 | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Dominic Smith | 51 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 95 | 0.219 | 89.5 | 8.8% | 22.2% | 398 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 24 |
| 6 |
|
Ozzie Albies | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 104 | 0.197 | 86.2 | 3.3% | 18.2% | 379 | 17.9% | 25.0% | 13.0% | 46 |
| 7 |
|
Austin Riley | 48 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 112 | 0.131 | 90.4 | 9.0% | 33.3% | 385 | 7.1% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 34 |
| 8 |
|
Mauricio Dubón | 31 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 204 | 0.155 | 87.2 | 6.8% | 0.0% | 393 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% | 33 |
| 9 |
|
Mike Yastrzemski | 24 | ⚪ D | · | · | 229 | 0.068 | 91.2 | 3.4% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.4% | 24 |