⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Willy Adames 5 HRs · 5 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 6 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 7 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 8 James Wood 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs
CWS
@ 4:07p
LAA
Angel Stadium · 18 ranked batters
Park Factor
0.98×
Weather Mod
-1.0%
cool air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.882
Temp
58.1°F
Wind
5.8 mph
out
Roof
open
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Mike Trout Mike Trout 56 🟠 C · · 12 0.321 92.3 · 25.0% 407 24.2% 33.3% 28.3% 24
2 Jorge Soler Jorge Soler 45 ⚪ D · · 56 0.226 88.5 · 25.0% 399 21.9% 25.0% 25.0% 32
3 Josh Lowe Josh Lowe 34 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 121 0.169 87.4 · 18.2% 374 11.1% 9.1% 10.1% 23
4 Nolan Schanuel Nolan Schanuel 33 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 132 0.133 87.1 · 20.0% 364 9.1% 8.3% 8.0% 38
5 Zach Neto Zach Neto 30 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 151 0.178 88.9 · 11.1% 399 15.2% 8.3% 9.4% 28
6 Yoán Moncada Yoán Moncada 27 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 174 0.134 90.4 · 16.7% 373 5.9% 0.0% 7.7% 14
7 Oswald Peraza Oswald Peraza 27 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 178 0.196 87.6 · 50.0% 378 10.5% 0.0% 14.8% 19
8 Jo Adell Jo Adell 18 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 232 0.107 90.3 · 26.7% 407 9.1% 8.3% 9.1% 38
9 Logan O'Hoppe Logan O'Hoppe 13 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 256 0.051 87.4 · 0.0% 427 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 7
9 batters
# Batter Score Tier Odds Form Rank ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution.
1 Munetaka Murakami Munetaka Murakami 54 🟠 C · · 19 0.328 95.4 · 40.0% 413 11.8% 16.7% 28.6% 30
2 Colson Montgomery Colson Montgomery 52 🟠 C · · 25 0.261 90.1 · 25.0% 398 31.6% 25.0% 23.8% 36
3 Miguel Vargas Miguel Vargas 51 🟠 C · 🌤️ WARM 30 0.224 88.9 · 12.0% 393 25.0% 25.0% 22.4% 36
4 Andrew Benintendi Andrew Benintendi 32 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 138 0.167 88.5 · 8.3% 391 12.5% 11.1% 7.3% 30
5 Everson Pereira Everson Pereira 32 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 140 0.203 87.8 · 22.2% 407 13.3% 0.0% 13.6% 17
6 Luisangel Acuña Luisangel Acuña 16 ⚪ D · 🌤️ WARM 242 0.013 88.4 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 6.6% 14
7 Edgar Quero Edgar Quero 14 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 252 0.015 90.1 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 19
8 Chase Meidroth Chase Meidroth 14 ⚪ D · ❄ COLD 253 0.082 88.0 · 15.4% 395 0.0% 0.0% 8.3% 35
9 Tristan Peters Tristan Peters 13 ⚪ D · 🌧️ COOL 257 0.045 89.0 · 0.0% · 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 27
🏟️

Unlock the full game board

See every batter in this game, both pitcher groups, all HR profile signals, and the matchup context that drives the slate.

15 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.82

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.