COL
@
—
TOR
Park Factor
1.10×
Weather Mod
+0.0%
neutral
Combined
1.100
Wind
0 mph
dome
Kyle Freeland
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
George Springer | 74 | 🟡 B | · | · | 4 | 0.251 | 90.0 | 12.3% | 20.0% | 409 | 40.0% | 40.0% | 16.5% | 21 |
| 2 |
|
Alejandro Kirk | 55 | 🟠 C | · | · | 50 | 0.140 | 91.1 | 9.7% | 10.1% | 402 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 11.7% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Addison Barger | 54 | 🟠 C | · | · | 54 | 0.211 | 91.7 | 10.3% | 15.7% | 403 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14.6% | 17 |
| 4 |
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 54 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 56 | 0.175 | 92.0 | 10.7% | 14.3% | 405 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 14 |
| 5 |
|
Andres Gimenez | 52 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 75 | 0.103 | 86.3 | 5.3% | 7.6% | 396 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 10.2% | 16 |
| 6 |
|
Bo Bichette ⚡ | 50 | 🟠 C | · | 🌤️ WARM | 84 | 0.172 | 91.0 | 8.6% | 11.8% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7% | 18 |
| 7 |
|
Nathan Lukes | 38 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 182 | 0.152 | 87.9 | 6.7% | 10.4% | 391 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% | 14 |
| 8 |
|
Myles Straw | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 209 | 0.105 | 87.2 | 6.0% | 5.1% | 386 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 10 |
| 9 |
|
Ernie Clement | 31 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 214 | 0.121 | 86.6 | 4.8% | 4.3% | 388 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.6% | 17 |
Kevin Gausman
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 69 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 9 | 0.243 | 90.8 | 10.4% | 18.6% | 409 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 14.6% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 58 | 🟠 C | · | 🔥 HOT | 39 | 0.147 | 89.4 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 406 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 10.2% | 16 |
| 3 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 56 | 🟠 C | · | ❄ COLD | 44 | 0.249 | 89.7 | 10.8% | 16.8% | 411 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.9% | 7 |
| 4 |
|
Jordan Beck | 46 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 107 | 0.158 | 87.4 | 9.0% | 12.2% | 414 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 17 |
| 5 |
|
Michael Toglia | 45 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 117 | 0.163 | 89.9 | 9.3% | 15.3% | 413 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.3% | 2 |
| 6 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 162 | 0.143 | 89.9 | 9.5% | 11.2% | 408 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.3% | 24 |
| 7 |
|
Ryan Ritter | 40 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 168 | 0.096 | 85.2 | 3.5% | 3.1% | 354 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 12 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Farmer | 32 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 204 | 0.137 | 87.0 | 7.2% | 10.7% | 397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 13 |
| 9 |
|
Tyler Freeman | 27 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 224 | 0.080 | 90.1 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 410 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.1% | 1 |