COL
@
12:35p
PIT
Park Factor
0.73×
Weather Mod
-2.0%
cold air · light wind out · roof open
Combined
0.588
Temp
54.2°F
Wind
3 mph
out
Roof
open
Mason Montgomery
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 73 | 🟡 B | · | 🌤️ WARM | 13 | 0.369 | 90.2 | 15.4% | 40.0% | 417 | 22.2% | 27.3% | 26.3% | 27 |
| 2 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 57 | 🟠 C | · | 🌧️ COOL | 43 | 0.253 | 92.8 | 14.9% | 37.5% | 402 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 26 |
| 3 | TJ Rumfield | 41 | ⚪ D | · | · | 87 | 0.172 | 86.3 | 8.6% | 19.4% | 413 | 10.3% | 25.0% | 14.0% | 36 | |
| 4 |
|
Jordan Beck | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 144 | 0.122 | 84.7 | 3.4% | 10.0% | 359 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.6% | 12 |
| 5 |
|
Edouard Julien | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 152 | 0.100 | 91.3 | 8.2% | 11.8% | 389 | 5.4% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 17 |
| 6 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 19 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 164 | 0.075 | 87.2 | 8.0% | 3.6% | 401 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 4.6% | 22 |
| 7 |
|
Willi Castro | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 166 | 0.094 | 88.7 | 6.8% | 0.0% | 406 | 3.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 29 |
| 8 |
|
Troy Johnston | 16 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 170 | 0.139 | 89.0 | 2.1% | 0.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 25 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 7 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 185 | 0.058 | 87.6 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 408 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 4.7% | 14 |
Chase Dollander
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Oneil Cruz | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌧️ COOL | 29 | 0.220 | 95.9 | 19.4% | 31.8% | 410 | 25.7% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 33 |
| 2 |
|
Brandon Lowe | 63 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 30 | 0.280 | 87.9 | 12.1% | 32.0% | 402 | 12.5% | 27.3% | 25.2% | 34 |
| 3 |
|
Endy Rodríguez | 42 | ⚪ D | · | 🔥 HOT | 83 | 0.167 | 89.7 | 8.5% | 11.8% | 416 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13.4% | 35 |
| 4 |
|
Konnor Griffin | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 105 | 0.139 | 87.7 | 9.6% | 21.4% | 401 | 4.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 34 |
| 5 |
|
Marcell Ozuna | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 108 | 0.114 | 89.2 | 8.2% | 8.7% | 400 | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 28 |
| 6 |
|
Bryan Reynolds | 35 | ⚪ D | · | · | 114 | 0.138 | 91.4 | 7.6% | 12.5% | 415 | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 31 |
| 7 |
|
Ryan O'Hearn | 35 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 115 | 0.175 | 90.4 | 6.7% | 17.9% | 388 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 35 |
| 8 |
|
Spencer Horwitz | 32 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 124 | 0.150 | 86.1 | 3.0% | 15.4% | 385 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 32 |
| 9 |
|
Jared Triolo | 11 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 178 | 0.049 | 88.2 | 3.3% | 0.0% | · | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 12 |