COL
@
6:05p
PHI
Park Factor
1.05×
Weather Mod
+4.0%
cool air · steady wind out · roof open
Combined
1.474
Temp
62.9°F
Wind
12.7 mph
out
Roof
open
Aaron Nola
RHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Hunter Goodman | 65 | 🔵 C+ | · | 🌤️ WARM | 4 | 0.318 | 93.3 | · | 30.8% | 402 | 22.6% | 27.3% | 42.9% | 26 |
| 2 |
|
Mickey Moniak | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 7 | 0.345 | 90.0 | · | 30.0% | 421 | 21.9% | 16.7% | 35.0% | 26 |
| 3 |
|
Edouard Julien | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 82 | 0.141 | 91.5 | · | 17.6% | 389 | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 21 |
| 4 | TJ Rumfield | 36 | ⚪ D | · | · | 84 | 0.154 | 86.0 | · | 20.0% | 412 | 8.0% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 42 | |
| 5 |
|
Troy Johnston | 27 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 156 | 0.142 | 89.3 | · | 20.0% | 415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.2% | 25 |
| 6 |
|
Willi Castro | 26 | ⚪ D | · | · | 166 | 0.110 | 88.6 | · | 6.7% | 436 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.8% | 23 |
| 7 |
|
Ezequiel Tovar | 26 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 167 | 0.097 | 87.3 | · | 10.7% | 401 | 3.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 25 |
| 8 |
|
Kyle Karros | 23 | ⚪ D | · | · | 182 | 0.068 | 89.9 | · | 10.0% | 448 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 10.1% | 18 |
| 9 |
|
Brenton Doyle | 17 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 218 | 0.073 | 89.1 | · | 7.7% | 408 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 9.7% | 13 |
Kyle Freeland
LHP
9 batters
| # | Batter | Score | Tier | Odds | Form | Rank | ISO ?Isolated Power — career SLG minus AVG. >.220 elite, .180–.220 above avg, <.140 below avg. | EV ?Avg Exit Velocity (mph) — Statcast season-to-date. >92 elite, 89–92 above avg, <86 below avg. | Barrel% ?Barrel rate vs. this pitch mix — percentage of contact classified as barrels (perfect EV + LA combo). >12% elite, 8–12% above avg. | HR/FB ?Batter HR / Fly Ball rate — career, all pitchers. >18% elite, 14–18% above avg, <10% below avg. | HR Dist ?Average distance (ft) of this batter's HRs. >400ft elite raw power, 380–400 above avg. | Sea HR% ?Season HR rate (HRs / PAs so far this year). v3.5 model feature — top backtest contributor. | 14d Pace ?Recent 14-day HR pace (HRs / games started). v3.5 model feature — captures current form. | Match% ?HR/FB Matchup — combined batter × pitcher HR/FB rate. The headline "how favorable is this matchup" number. | BBE ?Sample size — batted-ball events. <30 = small sample, treat stats with caution. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
Kyle Schwarber | 60 | 🔵 C+ | · | · | 8 | 0.315 | 92.1 | · | 27.3% | 403 | 25.7% | 30.8% | 32.1% | 34 |
| 2 |
|
Bryce Harper | 50 | 🟠 C | · | · | 21 | 0.240 | 88.4 | · | 20.0% | 407 | 20.0% | 15.4% | 26.4% | 39 |
| 3 |
|
Trea Turner | 36 | ⚪ D | · | 🌤️ WARM | 83 | 0.119 | 90.2 | · | 5.9% | 383 | 11.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 40 |
| 4 |
|
Adolis García | 34 | ⚪ D | · | · | 97 | 0.155 | 93.3 | · | 40.0% | 388 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 35 |
| 5 |
|
Brandon Marsh | 30 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 125 | 0.170 | 90.4 | · | 0.0% | 398 | 6.1% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 34 |
| 6 |
|
Bryson Stott | 23 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 184 | 0.050 | 90.1 | · | 0.0% | 399 | 9.4% | 25.0% | 10.3% | 34 |
| 7 | J.T. Realmuto | 21 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 200 | 0.093 | 88.7 | · | 0.0% | 401 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 7.3% | 18 | |
| 8 |
|
Justin Crawford | 18 | ⚪ D | · | ❄ COLD | 214 | 0.085 | 87.8 | · | 0.0% | 361 | 4.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 30 |
| 9 |
|
Alec Bohm | 17 | ⚪ D | · | 🌧️ COOL | 219 | 0.059 | 88.5 | · | 0.0% | 354 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 32 |